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Politik·Primer

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Primer

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner

Ralph Alvarado 67%

Ryan Dotson 12.9%

Adam Perez Arquette 9.0%

Greg Plucinski 5%

Polymarket

$17,719 Vol.

Ralph Alvarado 67%

Ryan Dotson 12.9%

Adam Perez Arquette 9.0%

Greg Plucinski 5%

Polymarket

$17,719 Vol.

Ralph Alvarado

$6,947 Vol.

67%

Ryan Dotson

$7,661 Vol.

24%

Adam Perez Arquette

$1,426 Vol.

9%

Greg Plucinski

$803 Vol.

5%

Gavin Solomon

$882 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the Kentucky 6th Congressional District Republican primary, bolstered by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement on April 9 and his fundraising edge in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's U.S. Senate bid. State Rep. Ryan Dotson holds 18.3% following his $200,000-plus self-loan and alignment with Alvarado on Trump support during February Spectrum News debates, though lacking similar high-profile backing. Lesser-known challengers Adam Perez Arquette (9.3%), Greg Plucinski (4.5%), and Gavin Solomon (0.9%) trail amid limited visibility. In Kentucky's closed primary on May 19, additional endorsements or internal polling could influence the competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,719
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the Kentucky 6th Congressional District Republican primary, bolstered by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement on April 9 and his fundraising edge in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's U.S. Senate bid. State Rep. Ryan Dotson holds 18.3% following his $200,000-plus self-loan and alignment with Alvarado on Trump support during February Spectrum News debates, though lacking similar high-profile backing. Lesser-known challengers Adam Perez Arquette (9.3%), Greg Plucinski (4.5%), and Gavin Solomon (0.9%) trail amid limited visibility. In Kentucky's closed primary on May 19, additional endorsements or internal polling could influence the competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,719
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ralph Alvarado" di 67%, diikuti oleh "Ryan Dotson" di 24%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 67¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 67% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $17.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 18, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "KY-06 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Ralph Alvarado" di 67%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 67% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Ryan Dotson" di 24%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.