Recent model guidance points to a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a frontal system bringing showers and thunderstorms to Chicago on September 15, supporting overnight lows near 66–68 °F under mostly cloudy skies. Radiational cooling under clearer breaks could allow readings to dip toward the mid-60s or lower if precipitation timing shifts, while stronger warm advection or persistent cloud cover would favor readings in the upper 60s. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable wind shifts further widen the range across ensembles. With market-implied odds closely split between 68–69 °F, sub-59 °F, and 78 °F-plus scenarios, traders are weighting the potential for forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service and updated model runs through the 14th.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chicago on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 15?
59°F or below 69%
78°F or higher 46%
60-61°F 39%
62-63°F 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
59°F or below
69%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
38%
78°F or higher
46%
59°F or below 69%
78°F or higher 46%
60-61°F 39%
62-63°F 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
59°F or below
$0 Vol.
69%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
21%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
24%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
35%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
39%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
38%
78°F or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance points to a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a frontal system bringing showers and thunderstorms to Chicago on September 15, supporting overnight lows near 66–68 °F under mostly cloudy skies. Radiational cooling under clearer breaks could allow readings to dip toward the mid-60s or lower if precipitation timing shifts, while stronger warm advection or persistent cloud cover would favor readings in the upper 60s. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable wind shifts further widen the range across ensembles. With market-implied odds closely split between 68–69 °F, sub-59 °F, and 78 °F-plus scenarios, traders are weighting the potential for forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service and updated model runs through the 14th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance points to a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a frontal system bringing showers and thunderstorms to Chicago on September 15, supporting overnight lows near 66–68 °F under mostly cloudy skies. Radiational cooling under clearer breaks could allow readings to dip toward the mid-60s or lower if precipitation timing shifts, while stronger warm advection or persistent cloud cover would favor readings in the upper 60s. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable wind shifts further widen the range across ensembles. With market-implied odds closely split between 68–69 °F, sub-59 °F, and 78 °F-plus scenarios, traders are weighting the potential for forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service and updated model runs through the 14th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance points to a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a frontal system bringing showers and thunderstorms to Chicago on September 15, supporting overnight lows near 66–68 °F under mostly cloudy skies. Radiational cooling under clearer breaks could allow readings to dip toward the mid-60s or lower if precipitation timing shifts, while stronger warm advection or persistent cloud cover would favor readings in the upper 60s. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable wind shifts further widen the range across ensembles. With market-implied odds closely split between 68–69 °F, sub-59 °F, and 78 °F-plus scenarios, traders are weighting the potential for forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service and updated model runs through the 14th.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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