**Current forecasts from meteorological models and observational data position 23°C as the near-certain minimum temperature for Guangzhou on September 10, 2026, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with northerly winds limiting overnight cooling.** Seasonal baselines show an average low of 24.6°C, and recent model runs (including hourly profiles dropping to 23°C in early morning hours) align closely with this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. The strong market-implied odds capture the limited scope for deviation under stable atmospheric patterns. Only an unexpected surge in radiational cooling under clearer skies or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically push the recorded low to 22°C or below, though such shifts appear improbable given the current consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
23°C 99.6%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
$1,883 Vol.
$1,883 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.6%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
$1,883 Vol.
$1,883 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$171 Vol.
1%
20°C
$164 Vol.
1%
21°C
$473 Vol.
1%
22°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$97 Vol.
100%
24°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from meteorological models and observational data position 23°C as the near-certain minimum temperature for Guangzhou on September 10, 2026, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with northerly winds limiting overnight cooling.**
Seasonal baselines show an average low of 24.6°C, and recent model runs (including hourly profiles dropping to 23°C in early morning hours) align closely with this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. The strong market-implied odds capture the limited scope for deviation under stable atmospheric patterns. Only an unexpected surge in radiational cooling under clearer skies or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically push the recorded low to 22°C or below, though such shifts appear improbable given the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,883Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from meteorological models and observational data position 23°C as the near-certain minimum temperature for Guangzhou on September 10, 2026, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with northerly winds limiting overnight cooling.**
Seasonal baselines show an average low of 24.6°C, and recent model runs (including hourly profiles dropping to 23°C in early morning hours) align closely with this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. The strong market-implied odds capture the limited scope for deviation under stable atmospheric patterns. Only an unexpected surge in radiational cooling under clearer skies or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically push the recorded low to 22°C or below, though such shifts appear improbable given the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,883Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from meteorological models and observational data position 23°C as the near-certain minimum temperature for Guangzhou on September 10, 2026, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with northerly winds limiting overnight cooling.** Seasonal baselines show an average low of 24.6°C, and recent model runs (including hourly profiles dropping to 23°C in early morning hours) align closely with this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. The strong market-implied odds capture the limited scope for deviation under stable atmospheric patterns. Only an unexpected surge in radiational cooling under clearer skies or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically push the recorded low to 22°C or below, though such shifts appear improbable given the current consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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