Current forecast models from multiple sources indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 4 most likely in the 20–22°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 5–13 km/h, and typical early-September radiative cooling overnight. Daytime highs near 28°C set up a diurnal range of roughly 6–8°C, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Trader sentiment reflects this central tendency, with closely matched probabilities across 19–25°C outcomes arising from minor model differences in exact pre-dawn timing, urban heat-island effects, and wind-driven mixing that could shift the low by 1–2°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected in the next 48 hours to alter this baseline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 4?
19°C 90%
20°C 90%
21°C 90%
22°C 90%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
16°C or below
59%
17°C
69%
18°C
69%
19°C
90%
20°C
90%
21°C
90%
22°C
90%
23°C
90%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
69%
19°C 90%
20°C 90%
21°C 90%
22°C 90%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
59%
17°C
$0 Vol.
69%
18°C
$0 Vol.
69%
19°C
$0 Vol.
90%
20°C
$0 Vol.
90%
21°C
$0 Vol.
90%
22°C
$0 Vol.
90%
23°C
$0 Vol.
90%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 4 most likely in the 20–22°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 5–13 km/h, and typical early-September radiative cooling overnight. Daytime highs near 28°C set up a diurnal range of roughly 6–8°C, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Trader sentiment reflects this central tendency, with closely matched probabilities across 19–25°C outcomes arising from minor model differences in exact pre-dawn timing, urban heat-island effects, and wind-driven mixing that could shift the low by 1–2°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected in the next 48 hours to alter this baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 4 most likely in the 20–22°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 5–13 km/h, and typical early-September radiative cooling overnight. Daytime highs near 28°C set up a diurnal range of roughly 6–8°C, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Trader sentiment reflects this central tendency, with closely matched probabilities across 19–25°C outcomes arising from minor model differences in exact pre-dawn timing, urban heat-island effects, and wind-driven mixing that could shift the low by 1–2°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected in the next 48 hours to alter this baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple sources indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 4 most likely in the 20–22°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 5–13 km/h, and typical early-September radiative cooling overnight. Daytime highs near 28°C set up a diurnal range of roughly 6–8°C, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Trader sentiment reflects this central tendency, with closely matched probabilities across 19–25°C outcomes arising from minor model differences in exact pre-dawn timing, urban heat-island effects, and wind-driven mixing that could shift the low by 1–2°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected in the next 48 hours to alter this baseline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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