Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and light winds that promote moderate nocturnal radiative cooling in Milan's Po Valley setting. This setup supports overnight lows near 19–22°C on August 30, consistent with late-summer climatology adjusted for current warmer baseline conditions. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing from variable northerly or westerly flow, local humidity levels near 60% that limit dew-point depression, and the urban heat-island effect that can raise minimum readings by 1–2°C relative to rural surroundings. Short-term model spread and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns sustain the dispersed market-implied probabilities across the 14–24°C range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
20%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
31%
18°C
27%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
2%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
16%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
20%
23°C
$5 Vol.
20%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and light winds that promote moderate nocturnal radiative cooling in Milan's Po Valley setting. This setup supports overnight lows near 19–22°C on August 30, consistent with late-summer climatology adjusted for current warmer baseline conditions. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing from variable northerly or westerly flow, local humidity levels near 60% that limit dew-point depression, and the urban heat-island effect that can raise minimum readings by 1–2°C relative to rural surroundings. Short-term model spread and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns sustain the dispersed market-implied probabilities across the 14–24°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and light winds that promote moderate nocturnal radiative cooling in Milan's Po Valley setting. This setup supports overnight lows near 19–22°C on August 30, consistent with late-summer climatology adjusted for current warmer baseline conditions. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing from variable northerly or westerly flow, local humidity levels near 60% that limit dew-point depression, and the urban heat-island effect that can raise minimum readings by 1–2°C relative to rural surroundings. Short-term model spread and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns sustain the dispersed market-implied probabilities across the 14–24°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and light winds that promote moderate nocturnal radiative cooling in Milan's Po Valley setting. This setup supports overnight lows near 19–22°C on August 30, consistent with late-summer climatology adjusted for current warmer baseline conditions. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing from variable northerly or westerly flow, local humidity levels near 60% that limit dew-point depression, and the urban heat-island effect that can raise minimum readings by 1–2°C relative to rural surroundings. Short-term model spread and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns sustain the dispersed market-implied probabilities across the 14–24°C range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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