Recent forecasts from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS) point to a mild overnight period for Moscow on September 4, with the daily minimum expected near 12–14 °C amid southwesterly flow at 3–7 m/s and surface pressure near 1010–1013 hPa. Daytime highs are projected around 20–21 °C under partly cloudy skies, but the overnight low will hinge on the degree of cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which limit radiational cooling when dew points hover near 11–13 °C. The near-even market-implied odds around 11 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C reflect genuine uncertainty in how quickly any residual moisture or thin cloud deck dissipates after sunset, as well as minor spread among ensemble members for the 00–06 UTC window. A slightly stronger nocturnal inversion or clearer skies could push the minimum toward the lower end of that range, while persistent low-level moisture or a modest wind increase would favor the higher side. Traders are monitoring the next official Hydromet update and fresh model runs for clearer signals on these variables before the market resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 4?
10°C 95%
6°C or below 94%
7°C 94%
12°C 94%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
6°C or below
94%
7°C
94%
8°C
93%
9°C
93%
10°C
95%
11°C
51%
12°C
94%
13°C
94%
14°C
51%
15°C
94%
16°C or higher
94%
10°C 95%
6°C or below 94%
7°C 94%
12°C 94%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
94%
7°C
$0 Vol.
94%
8°C
$0 Vol.
93%
9°C
$0 Vol.
93%
10°C
$0 Vol.
95%
11°C
$0 Vol.
51%
12°C
$0 Vol.
94%
13°C
$0 Vol.
94%
14°C
$0 Vol.
51%
15°C
$0 Vol.
94%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS) point to a mild overnight period for Moscow on September 4, with the daily minimum expected near 12–14 °C amid southwesterly flow at 3–7 m/s and surface pressure near 1010–1013 hPa. Daytime highs are projected around 20–21 °C under partly cloudy skies, but the overnight low will hinge on the degree of cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which limit radiational cooling when dew points hover near 11–13 °C.
The near-even market-implied odds around 11 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C reflect genuine uncertainty in how quickly any residual moisture or thin cloud deck dissipates after sunset, as well as minor spread among ensemble members for the 00–06 UTC window. A slightly stronger nocturnal inversion or clearer skies could push the minimum toward the lower end of that range, while persistent low-level moisture or a modest wind increase would favor the higher side. Traders are monitoring the next official Hydromet update and fresh model runs for clearer signals on these variables before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS) point to a mild overnight period for Moscow on September 4, with the daily minimum expected near 12–14 °C amid southwesterly flow at 3–7 m/s and surface pressure near 1010–1013 hPa. Daytime highs are projected around 20–21 °C under partly cloudy skies, but the overnight low will hinge on the degree of cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which limit radiational cooling when dew points hover near 11–13 °C.
The near-even market-implied odds around 11 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C reflect genuine uncertainty in how quickly any residual moisture or thin cloud deck dissipates after sunset, as well as minor spread among ensemble members for the 00–06 UTC window. A slightly stronger nocturnal inversion or clearer skies could push the minimum toward the lower end of that range, while persistent low-level moisture or a modest wind increase would favor the higher side. Traders are monitoring the next official Hydromet update and fresh model runs for clearer signals on these variables before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models (GFS) point to a mild overnight period for Moscow on September 4, with the daily minimum expected near 12–14 °C amid southwesterly flow at 3–7 m/s and surface pressure near 1010–1013 hPa. Daytime highs are projected around 20–21 °C under partly cloudy skies, but the overnight low will hinge on the degree of cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which limit radiational cooling when dew points hover near 11–13 °C. The near-even market-implied odds around 11 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C reflect genuine uncertainty in how quickly any residual moisture or thin cloud deck dissipates after sunset, as well as minor spread among ensemble members for the 00–06 UTC window. A slightly stronger nocturnal inversion or clearer skies could push the minimum toward the lower end of that range, while persistent low-level moisture or a modest wind increase would favor the higher side. Traders are monitoring the next official Hydromet update and fresh model runs for clearer signals on these variables before the market resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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