Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show high uncertainty in Moscow's early-September temperature due to competing high-pressure ridges and incoming Atlantic fronts, keeping the lowest reading on September 3 split nearly evenly between sub-9°C and 18°C-plus outcomes. Seasonal norms place daily lows near 12–15°C, but rapid shifts in 500 hPa geopotential heights can produce 5–8°C swings within 48 hours. Updated ensemble guidance expected in the next 24 hours will clarify whether a stronger cold pool or warmer southerly flow dominates, directly influencing resolution thresholds on the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
8°C or below 91%
18°C or higher 90%
16°C 50%
10°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
91%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
6%
16°C
50%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
90%
8°C or below 91%
18°C or higher 90%
16°C 50%
10°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
91%
9°C
$25 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$5 Vol.
6%
16°C
$16 Vol.
50%
17°C
$5 Vol.
8%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show high uncertainty in Moscow's early-September temperature due to competing high-pressure ridges and incoming Atlantic fronts, keeping the lowest reading on September 3 split nearly evenly between sub-9°C and 18°C-plus outcomes. Seasonal norms place daily lows near 12–15°C, but rapid shifts in 500 hPa geopotential heights can produce 5–8°C swings within 48 hours. Updated ensemble guidance expected in the next 24 hours will clarify whether a stronger cold pool or warmer southerly flow dominates, directly influencing resolution thresholds on the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$61Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show high uncertainty in Moscow's early-September temperature due to competing high-pressure ridges and incoming Atlantic fronts, keeping the lowest reading on September 3 split nearly evenly between sub-9°C and 18°C-plus outcomes. Seasonal norms place daily lows near 12–15°C, but rapid shifts in 500 hPa geopotential heights can produce 5–8°C swings within 48 hours. Updated ensemble guidance expected in the next 24 hours will clarify whether a stronger cold pool or warmer southerly flow dominates, directly influencing resolution thresholds on the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show high uncertainty in Moscow's early-September temperature due to competing high-pressure ridges and incoming Atlantic fronts, keeping the lowest reading on September 3 split nearly evenly between sub-9°C and 18°C-plus outcomes. Seasonal norms place daily lows near 12–15°C, but rapid shifts in 500 hPa geopotential heights can produce 5–8°C swings within 48 hours. Updated ensemble guidance expected in the next 24 hours will clarify whether a stronger cold pool or warmer southerly flow dominates, directly influencing resolution thresholds on the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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