Recent National Weather Service and local forecast guidance points to overnight lows in the upper 50s for Seattle on August 22, driven by a shift to onshore flow and increasing marine layer influence that moderates temperatures following warmer conditions earlier in the month. Model consensus shows highs near 70–73°F with cloud cover and a chance of light showers, limiting daytime heating and supporting minimum readings around 57–60°F—consistent with climatological averages near 57°F for late August. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 58–63°F bins because these align with ensemble outputs and recent cooling trends, though minor forecast adjustments in wind direction or cloud timing could shift the exact minimum. Official observations from Sea-Tac or downtown stations will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seattle on August 22?
58-59°F 38%
60-61°F 29%
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 23%
51°F or below
7%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
29%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F or higher
1%
58-59°F 38%
60-61°F 29%
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 23%
51°F or below
7%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
29%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local forecast guidance points to overnight lows in the upper 50s for Seattle on August 22, driven by a shift to onshore flow and increasing marine layer influence that moderates temperatures following warmer conditions earlier in the month. Model consensus shows highs near 70–73°F with cloud cover and a chance of light showers, limiting daytime heating and supporting minimum readings around 57–60°F—consistent with climatological averages near 57°F for late August. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 58–63°F bins because these align with ensemble outputs and recent cooling trends, though minor forecast adjustments in wind direction or cloud timing could shift the exact minimum. Official observations from Sea-Tac or downtown stations will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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