**Trader consensus strongly favors 22°C as the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3, reflecting consistent numerical weather prediction output and observational trends.** Multiple official and model sources, including Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and international forecasts, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and dry conditions typical of early September. This aligns with climatological norms for the Incheon station, where average September 3 lows hover around 21°C. The 92.5% implied probability captures the high model agreement and limited forecast spread at this short lead time. Realistic challenges remain modest but include minor revisions from updated model runs if boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts alter radiative cooling overnight; however, current stability and proximity to resolution limit the scope for significant deviation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
22°C 94%
21°C 5%
20°C 2%
18°C <1%
BARU
$10,290 Vol.
BARU
$10,290 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
94%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 94%
21°C 5%
20°C 2%
18°C <1%
BARU
$10,290 Vol.
BARU
$10,290 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
$314 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$316 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$753 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$275 Vol.
1%
19°C
$316 Vol.
1%
20°C
$830 Vol.
2%
21°C
$292 Vol.
5%
22°C
$688 Vol.
94%
23°C
$1,874 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,507 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 22°C as the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3, reflecting consistent numerical weather prediction output and observational trends.** Multiple official and model sources, including Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and international forecasts, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and dry conditions typical of early September. This aligns with climatological norms for the Incheon station, where average September 3 lows hover around 21°C. The 92.5% implied probability captures the high model agreement and limited forecast spread at this short lead time. Realistic challenges remain modest but include minor revisions from updated model runs if boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts alter radiative cooling overnight; however, current stability and proximity to resolution limit the scope for significant deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$10,290Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 22°C as the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3, reflecting consistent numerical weather prediction output and observational trends.** Multiple official and model sources, including Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and international forecasts, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and dry conditions typical of early September. This aligns with climatological norms for the Incheon station, where average September 3 lows hover around 21°C. The 92.5% implied probability captures the high model agreement and limited forecast spread at this short lead time. Realistic challenges remain modest but include minor revisions from updated model runs if boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts alter radiative cooling overnight; however, current stability and proximity to resolution limit the scope for significant deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,290Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 22°C as the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3, reflecting consistent numerical weather prediction output and observational trends.** Multiple official and model sources, including Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and international forecasts, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and dry conditions typical of early September. This aligns with climatological norms for the Incheon station, where average September 3 lows hover around 21°C. The 92.5% implied probability captures the high model agreement and limited forecast spread at this short lead time. Realistic challenges remain modest but include minor revisions from updated model runs if boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts alter radiative cooling overnight; however, current stability and proximity to resolution limit the scope for significant deviation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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