Latest KMA and international model consensus shows overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity likely producing a minimum of 22–24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 2. Recent runs emphasize persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit diurnal temperature swings, keeping the lowest readings near 23°C as the modal outcome. Historical early-September climatology supports this range, with typical lows of 20–23°C, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 22°C. Traders are weighting the 23°C and 24°C bins most heavily given the narrow spread in current guidance and the short time remaining before resolution. Updated KMA and ensemble forecasts over the next 24–48 hours will be the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
23°C 50%
24°C 36%
22°C 16%
21°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
10%
21°C
13%
22°C
16%
23°C
50%
24°C
36%
25°C
12%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
6%
23°C 50%
24°C 36%
22°C 16%
21°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
18°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
19°C
$20 Vol.
7%
20°C
$41 Vol.
10%
21°C
$41 Vol.
13%
22°C
$84 Vol.
16%
23°C
$22 Vol.
50%
24°C
$20 Vol.
36%
25°C
$6 Vol.
12%
26°C
$5 Vol.
7%
27°C
$6 Vol.
7%
28°C or higher
$51 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest KMA and international model consensus shows overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity likely producing a minimum of 22–24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 2. Recent runs emphasize persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit diurnal temperature swings, keeping the lowest readings near 23°C as the modal outcome. Historical early-September climatology supports this range, with typical lows of 20–23°C, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 22°C. Traders are weighting the 23°C and 24°C bins most heavily given the narrow spread in current guidance and the short time remaining before resolution. Updated KMA and ensemble forecasts over the next 24–48 hours will be the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$316Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest KMA and international model consensus shows overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity likely producing a minimum of 22–24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 2. Recent runs emphasize persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit diurnal temperature swings, keeping the lowest readings near 23°C as the modal outcome. Historical early-September climatology supports this range, with typical lows of 20–23°C, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 22°C. Traders are weighting the 23°C and 24°C bins most heavily given the narrow spread in current guidance and the short time remaining before resolution. Updated KMA and ensemble forecasts over the next 24–48 hours will be the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$316Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest KMA and international model consensus shows overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity likely producing a minimum of 22–24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 2. Recent runs emphasize persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit diurnal temperature swings, keeping the lowest readings near 23°C as the modal outcome. Historical early-September climatology supports this range, with typical lows of 20–23°C, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 22°C. Traders are weighting the 23°C and 24°C bins most heavily given the narrow spread in current guidance and the short time remaining before resolution. Updated KMA and ensemble forecasts over the next 24–48 hours will be the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan