**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly flow are keeping overnight lows in Shanghai anchored in the mid-20s Celsius for September 3.** Multiple forecast models show the minimum temperature occurring in the early morning hours under overcast skies and scattered showers, with dew points near 24–25°C limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations from September 2 indicate ongoing precipitation and high humidity (around 85–90%), which models carry forward, preventing the clearer conditions needed for a drop to 24°C or below. This setup favors 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the market-implied probabilities of 35% and 48%. Slight variations in timing of any clearing or shower intensity could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, but the current consensus from ensemble guidance shows little support for extremes outside this narrow range. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
26°C 52%
25°C 30%
27°C 7%
24°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
32%
26°C
52%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 52%
25°C 30%
27°C 7%
24°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
$306 Vol.
1%
23°C
$297 Vol.
2%
24°C
$130 Vol.
5%
25°C
$314 Vol.
32%
26°C
$855 Vol.
52%
27°C
$566 Vol.
7%
28°C
$448 Vol.
2%
29°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly flow are keeping overnight lows in Shanghai anchored in the mid-20s Celsius for September 3.** Multiple forecast models show the minimum temperature occurring in the early morning hours under overcast skies and scattered showers, with dew points near 24–25°C limiting radiative cooling.
Recent observations from September 2 indicate ongoing precipitation and high humidity (around 85–90%), which models carry forward, preventing the clearer conditions needed for a drop to 24°C or below. This setup favors 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the market-implied probabilities of 35% and 48%.
Slight variations in timing of any clearing or shower intensity could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, but the current consensus from ensemble guidance shows little support for extremes outside this narrow range. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,328Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly flow are keeping overnight lows in Shanghai anchored in the mid-20s Celsius for September 3.** Multiple forecast models show the minimum temperature occurring in the early morning hours under overcast skies and scattered showers, with dew points near 24–25°C limiting radiative cooling.
Recent observations from September 2 indicate ongoing precipitation and high humidity (around 85–90%), which models carry forward, preventing the clearer conditions needed for a drop to 24°C or below. This setup favors 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the market-implied probabilities of 35% and 48%.
Slight variations in timing of any clearing or shower intensity could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, but the current consensus from ensemble guidance shows little support for extremes outside this narrow range. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,328Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly flow are keeping overnight lows in Shanghai anchored in the mid-20s Celsius for September 3.** Multiple forecast models show the minimum temperature occurring in the early morning hours under overcast skies and scattered showers, with dew points near 24–25°C limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations from September 2 indicate ongoing precipitation and high humidity (around 85–90%), which models carry forward, preventing the clearer conditions needed for a drop to 24°C or below. This setup favors 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the market-implied probabilities of 35% and 48%. Slight variations in timing of any clearing or shower intensity could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, but the current consensus from ensemble guidance shows little support for extremes outside this narrow range. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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