Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show Warsaw overnight lows clustering near 15–18 °C on August 21, with trader consensus tightly bunched at 13–15 °C due to modest model spread. Light southeasterly winds of 1–3 m/s and high humidity (85–100 %) will limit turbulent mixing and evaporative cooling, while variable low- to mid-level cloud cover modulates net longwave radiative loss at the surface. Dew points near 16–17 °C act as a practical floor, and any increase in clear-sky intervals or slight backing of the wind could allow an extra 1–2 °C drop. Latest model runs and updated guidance expected overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
15°C 34%
17°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
3%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
15°C 34%
17°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
$76 Vol.
3%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$0 Vol.
34%
15°C
$0 Vol.
34%
16°C
$16 Vol.
30%
17°C
$6 Vol.
27%
18°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show Warsaw overnight lows clustering near 15–18 °C on August 21, with trader consensus tightly bunched at 13–15 °C due to modest model spread. Light southeasterly winds of 1–3 m/s and high humidity (85–100 %) will limit turbulent mixing and evaporative cooling, while variable low- to mid-level cloud cover modulates net longwave radiative loss at the surface. Dew points near 16–17 °C act as a practical floor, and any increase in clear-sky intervals or slight backing of the wind could allow an extra 1–2 °C drop. Latest model runs and updated guidance expected overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$798Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show Warsaw overnight lows clustering near 15–18 °C on August 21, with trader consensus tightly bunched at 13–15 °C due to modest model spread. Light southeasterly winds of 1–3 m/s and high humidity (85–100 %) will limit turbulent mixing and evaporative cooling, while variable low- to mid-level cloud cover modulates net longwave radiative loss at the surface. Dew points near 16–17 °C act as a practical floor, and any increase in clear-sky intervals or slight backing of the wind could allow an extra 1–2 °C drop. Latest model runs and updated guidance expected overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$798Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show Warsaw overnight lows clustering near 15–18 °C on August 21, with trader consensus tightly bunched at 13–15 °C due to modest model spread. Light southeasterly winds of 1–3 m/s and high humidity (85–100 %) will limit turbulent mixing and evaporative cooling, while variable low- to mid-level cloud cover modulates net longwave radiative loss at the surface. Dew points near 16–17 °C act as a practical floor, and any increase in clear-sky intervals or slight backing of the wind could allow an extra 1–2 °C drop. Latest model runs and updated guidance expected overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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