Current forecast models from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and GFS/ECMWF ensembles indicate a mild overnight low in Warsaw on September 14 driven by a stable southerly flow, extensive low-level cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports trader consensus clustering on 12–15°C outcomes, as higher humidity and weak winds reduce the potential for sharper drops below seasonal norms near 10°C. Minor model spreads arise from exact timing of any clearing or shower intensity, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C either way before official verification. No major synoptic shifts are expected in the next 24 hours to alter this range significantly.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
9°C or below 76%
19°C or higher 73%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
76%
10°C
17%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
5%
16°C
39%
17°C
17%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
73%
9°C or below 76%
19°C or higher 73%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$45 Vol.
76%
10°C
$40 Vol.
17%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$187 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
17%
18°C
$0 Vol.
13%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and GFS/ECMWF ensembles indicate a mild overnight low in Warsaw on September 14 driven by a stable southerly flow, extensive low-level cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports trader consensus clustering on 12–15°C outcomes, as higher humidity and weak winds reduce the potential for sharper drops below seasonal norms near 10°C. Minor model spreads arise from exact timing of any clearing or shower intensity, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C either way before official verification. No major synoptic shifts are expected in the next 24 hours to alter this range significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$272Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and GFS/ECMWF ensembles indicate a mild overnight low in Warsaw on September 14 driven by a stable southerly flow, extensive low-level cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports trader consensus clustering on 12–15°C outcomes, as higher humidity and weak winds reduce the potential for sharper drops below seasonal norms near 10°C. Minor model spreads arise from exact timing of any clearing or shower intensity, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C either way before official verification. No major synoptic shifts are expected in the next 24 hours to alter this range significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$272Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and GFS/ECMWF ensembles indicate a mild overnight low in Warsaw on September 14 driven by a stable southerly flow, extensive low-level cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports trader consensus clustering on 12–15°C outcomes, as higher humidity and weak winds reduce the potential for sharper drops below seasonal norms near 10°C. Minor model spreads arise from exact timing of any clearing or shower intensity, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C either way before official verification. No major synoptic shifts are expected in the next 24 hours to alter this range significantly.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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