Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by high pressure, light winds under 10 km/h, and patchy fog or low stratus that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Stable atmospheric conditions and dew points near observed air temperatures reduce the potential for sharp drops, while any brief clear intervals overnight could allow temperatures to approach 11–12°C. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current above-normal warmth and high humidity favor values clustered near the upper end of that range. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between 11°C and 12°C outcomes amid minor model disagreements on cloud cover evolution before sunrise.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
8°C 87%
7°C or below 55%
9°C 6%
13°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
7°C or below
55%
8°C
87%
9°C
6%
10°C
44%
11°C
48%
12°C
53%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
8°C 87%
7°C or below 55%
9°C 6%
13°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
7°C or below
$143 Vol.
55%
8°C
$10 Vol.
87%
9°C
$411 Vol.
6%
10°C
$148 Vol.
44%
11°C
$5 Vol.
48%
12°C
$55 Vol.
53%
13°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by high pressure, light winds under 10 km/h, and patchy fog or low stratus that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Stable atmospheric conditions and dew points near observed air temperatures reduce the potential for sharp drops, while any brief clear intervals overnight could allow temperatures to approach 11–12°C. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current above-normal warmth and high humidity favor values clustered near the upper end of that range. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between 11°C and 12°C outcomes amid minor model disagreements on cloud cover evolution before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,308Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by high pressure, light winds under 10 km/h, and patchy fog or low stratus that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Stable atmospheric conditions and dew points near observed air temperatures reduce the potential for sharp drops, while any brief clear intervals overnight could allow temperatures to approach 11–12°C. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current above-normal warmth and high humidity favor values clustered near the upper end of that range. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between 11°C and 12°C outcomes amid minor model disagreements on cloud cover evolution before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,308Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by high pressure, light winds under 10 km/h, and patchy fog or low stratus that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Stable atmospheric conditions and dew points near observed air temperatures reduce the potential for sharp drops, while any brief clear intervals overnight could allow temperatures to approach 11–12°C. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current above-normal warmth and high humidity favor values clustered near the upper end of that range. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between 11°C and 12°C outcomes amid minor model disagreements on cloud cover evolution before sunrise.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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