**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range overnight under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, with radiative cooling limited by moderate humidity and a stable high-pressure pattern.** Trader consensus around 10–11°C outcomes reflects model spread and potential for localized variations at official stations, while the notable probability on 6°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected cooling if winds calm further or cloud cover decreases more than anticipated. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 10°C, providing context for why markets price these thresholds closely amid ongoing data from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night remain key resolution inputs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 16?
6°C or below 98%
10°C 50%
11°C 50%
8°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
6°C or below
98%
7°C
10%
8°C
16%
9°C
6%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
6°C or below 98%
10°C 50%
11°C 50%
8°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
98%
7°C
$87 Vol.
10%
8°C
$213 Vol.
16%
9°C
$5 Vol.
6%
10°C
$10 Vol.
50%
11°C
$0 Vol.
50%
12°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range overnight under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, with radiative cooling limited by moderate humidity and a stable high-pressure pattern.** Trader consensus around 10–11°C outcomes reflects model spread and potential for localized variations at official stations, while the notable probability on 6°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected cooling if winds calm further or cloud cover decreases more than anticipated. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 10°C, providing context for why markets price these thresholds closely amid ongoing data from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night remain key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$697Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range overnight under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, with radiative cooling limited by moderate humidity and a stable high-pressure pattern.** Trader consensus around 10–11°C outcomes reflects model spread and potential for localized variations at official stations, while the notable probability on 6°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected cooling if winds calm further or cloud cover decreases more than anticipated. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 10°C, providing context for why markets price these thresholds closely amid ongoing data from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night remain key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$697Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range overnight under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, with radiative cooling limited by moderate humidity and a stable high-pressure pattern.** Trader consensus around 10–11°C outcomes reflects model spread and potential for localized variations at official stations, while the notable probability on 6°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected cooling if winds calm further or cloud cover decreases more than anticipated. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 10°C, providing context for why markets price these thresholds closely amid ongoing data from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night remain key resolution inputs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan