Alma Adams maintains a commanding lead in the NC-12 race due to the district's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in a D+24 Partisan Voter Index and her consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the long-serving incumbent, Adams cleared her March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and benefits from superior fundraising and name recognition in central Mecklenburg County. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who won his low-turnout primary, operates with minimal resources and confronts the same structural barriers that have kept the seat out of reach for his party. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, with any reversal hinging on rare events like candidate disqualification or an unprecedented national swing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNC-12 House Election Winner
NC-12 House Election Winner
$66,266 Vol.
$66,266 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Alma Adams (D)
96%
Jack Codiga (R)
2%
$66,266 Vol.
$66,266 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Alma Adams (D)
$17,082 Vol.
96%
Jack Codiga (R)
$49,184 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams maintains a commanding lead in the NC-12 race due to the district's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in a D+24 Partisan Voter Index and her consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the long-serving incumbent, Adams cleared her March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and benefits from superior fundraising and name recognition in central Mecklenburg County. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who won his low-turnout primary, operates with minimal resources and confronts the same structural barriers that have kept the seat out of reach for his party. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, with any reversal hinging on rare events like candidate disqualification or an unprecedented national swing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$66,266Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams maintains a commanding lead in the NC-12 race due to the district's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in a D+24 Partisan Voter Index and her consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the long-serving incumbent, Adams cleared her March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and benefits from superior fundraising and name recognition in central Mecklenburg County. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who won his low-turnout primary, operates with minimal resources and confronts the same structural barriers that have kept the seat out of reach for his party. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, with any reversal hinging on rare events like candidate disqualification or an unprecedented national swing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$66,266Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alma Adams maintains a commanding lead in the NC-12 race due to the district's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in a D+24 Partisan Voter Index and her consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the long-serving incumbent, Adams cleared her March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and benefits from superior fundraising and name recognition in central Mecklenburg County. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who won his low-turnout primary, operates with minimal resources and confronts the same structural barriers that have kept the seat out of reach for his party. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, with any reversal hinging on rare events like candidate disqualification or an unprecedented national swing.
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