Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 94.5% trader consensus in the May 12 nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, driven by his dominant history—83% in 2022 over Sheila Montague's 17%, 77% in 2018—and a splintered field of eight certified low-profile challengers lacking resources or endorsements. His April 1 State of the City address, highlighting gains in public safety, education, economic development, and housing to an enthusiastic crowd, solidified support less than five weeks out, with no public polling challenging his lead. A June 9 runoff triggers if no majority, but Baraka's loyal base favors outright victory; realistic shifts would need late scandal, health issue, or surprise endorsement boosting a contender like Douglas Davis or Nasheedah Singleton.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNewark Mayoral Election
Newark Mayoral Election
Ras Baraka 95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.3%
Douglas Davis 1.0%
Nasheedah Singleton <1%
$14,563 Vol.
$14,563 Vol.
Ras Baraka
95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
1%
Douglas Davis
1%
Nasheedah Singleton
1%
Sheila Montague
1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.3%
Douglas Davis 1.0%
Nasheedah Singleton <1%
$14,563 Vol.
$14,563 Vol.
Ras Baraka
95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
1%
Douglas Davis
1%
Nasheedah Singleton
1%
Sheila Montague
1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 94.5% trader consensus in the May 12 nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, driven by his dominant history—83% in 2022 over Sheila Montague's 17%, 77% in 2018—and a splintered field of eight certified low-profile challengers lacking resources or endorsements. His April 1 State of the City address, highlighting gains in public safety, education, economic development, and housing to an enthusiastic crowd, solidified support less than five weeks out, with no public polling challenging his lead. A June 9 runoff triggers if no majority, but Baraka's loyal base favors outright victory; realistic shifts would need late scandal, health issue, or surprise endorsement boosting a contender like Douglas Davis or Nasheedah Singleton.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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