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Teknologi·Big Tech

CEO Apple berikutnya?

Market icon
Teknologi·Big Tech

CEO Apple berikutnya?

John Ternus 30%

Greg Joswiak 6.0%

Sabih Khan 5%

Craig Federighi 3.0%

Polymarket

$675,504 Vol.

John Ternus 30%

Greg Joswiak 6.0%

Sabih Khan 5%

Craig Federighi 3.0%

Polymarket

$675,504 Vol.

John Ternus

$584,752 Vol.

30%

Greg Joswiak

$50,339 Vol.

6%

Sabih Khan

$8,232 Vol.

5%

Craig Federighi

$32,181 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors John Ternus at 29.5% implied probability as Tim Cook's potential successor, propelled by a March 2026 Bloomberg investigation highlighting his role as senior vice president of hardware engineering—overseeing devices that drive 80% of Apple's revenue—and his reputation for reversing product quality declines while championing AI wearables and smart home initiatives. Recent April interviews alongside Greg Joswiak (5.9%, marketing lead for Pro lines) underscore Ternus's rising visibility, yet the field remains wide-open amid Cook's dismissal of imminent retirement and no fixed timeline. Joswiak's consumer savvy, Craig Federighi's software engineering prowess (5.1%), and Sabih Khan's supply chain expertise (4.5%) differentiate contenders, but board searches for external talent and unannounced catalysts like WWDC keep uncertainty high.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Volume
$675,504
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors John Ternus at 29.5% implied probability as Tim Cook's potential successor, propelled by a March 2026 Bloomberg investigation highlighting his role as senior vice president of hardware engineering—overseeing devices that drive 80% of Apple's revenue—and his reputation for reversing product quality declines while championing AI wearables and smart home initiatives. Recent April interviews alongside Greg Joswiak (5.9%, marketing lead for Pro lines) underscore Ternus's rising visibility, yet the field remains wide-open amid Cook's dismissal of imminent retirement and no fixed timeline. Joswiak's consumer savvy, Craig Federighi's software engineering prowess (5.1%), and Sabih Khan's supply chain expertise (4.5%) differentiate contenders, but board searches for external talent and unannounced catalysts like WWDC keep uncertainty high.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Volume
$675,504
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CEO Apple berikutnya?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "John Ternus" di 30%, diikuti oleh "Greg Joswiak" di 6%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 30¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 30% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "CEO Apple berikutnya?" telah menghasilkan $675.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 18, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "CEO Apple berikutnya?," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CEO Apple berikutnya?" adalah "John Ternus" di 30%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 30% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Greg Joswiak" di 6%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CEO Apple berikutnya?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.