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Politik·Demokratik Primer

NY-21 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NY-21 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Demokratik Primer

NY-21 Republican Primary Winner

BARU
Polymarket
BARU

Anthony Constantino

$1,999 Vol.

77%

Robert Smullen

$1,651 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony Constantino holds a strong lead in the NY-21 Republican primary market, driven by President Trump’s endorsement and his profile as a business outsider emphasizing job creation and manufacturing growth in the North Country district. State Assemblyman Robert Smullen, backed by party infrastructure and highlighting his legislative record plus Marine Corps service, trails as the more establishment option. Recent developments reinforcing Constantino’s position include a high-profile visit by Rep. Jim Jordan to campaign on his behalf days before the June 23 vote, alongside ongoing debates and early voting that have kept focus on the candidates’ contrasting paths to the nomination. Traders appear to view the Trump alignment as the decisive factor in this open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,650
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2026, 11:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony Constantino holds a strong lead in the NY-21 Republican primary market, driven by President Trump’s endorsement and his profile as a business outsider emphasizing job creation and manufacturing growth in the North Country district. State Assemblyman Robert Smullen, backed by party infrastructure and highlighting his legislative record plus Marine Corps service, trails as the more establishment option. Recent developments reinforcing Constantino’s position include a high-profile visit by Rep. Jim Jordan to campaign on his behalf days before the June 23 vote, alongside ongoing debates and early voting that have kept focus on the candidates’ contrasting paths to the nomination. Traders appear to view the Trump alignment as the decisive factor in this open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,650
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2026, 11:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NY-21 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Anthony Constantino" di 78%, diikuti oleh "Robert Smullen" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 78¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"NY-21 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 20, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "NY-21 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NY-21 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Anthony Constantino" di 78%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Robert Smullen" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NY-21 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.