Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford advanced from the June 9 Democratic primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first and second with roughly 36 percent and 29 percent of the vote, respectively, triggering a June 23 runoff since no candidate reached a majority. Lacore’s stronger showing, backed by her extensive military service record, has positioned her as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments of the runoff outcome. The remaining candidates, including Francina Dantzler, Max Diaz, Matt Fulmer, Mayra Rivera-Vazquez, and Ben Frasier, received single-digit support and were eliminated, sharply reducing their implied probabilities. The short two-week runoff window and the district’s recent history of competitive Democratic contests continue to shape expectations around the final nominee.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiSC-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Nancy Lacore 95%
Matt Fulmer 1.1%
Francina Dantzler <1%
Mayra Rivera-Vazquez <1%
$6,913 Vol.
$6,913 Vol.
Nancy Lacore
95%
Matt Fulmer
1%
Francina Dantzler
1%
Mayra Rivera-Vazquez
<1%
Max Diaz
6%
Ben Frasier
<1%
Mac Deford
41%
Nancy Lacore 95%
Matt Fulmer 1.1%
Francina Dantzler <1%
Mayra Rivera-Vazquez <1%
$6,913 Vol.
$6,913 Vol.
Nancy Lacore
95%
Matt Fulmer
1%
Francina Dantzler
1%
Mayra Rivera-Vazquez
<1%
Max Diaz
6%
Ben Frasier
<1%
Mac Deford
41%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: May 25, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford advanced from the June 9 Democratic primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first and second with roughly 36 percent and 29 percent of the vote, respectively, triggering a June 23 runoff since no candidate reached a majority. Lacore’s stronger showing, backed by her extensive military service record, has positioned her as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments of the runoff outcome. The remaining candidates, including Francina Dantzler, Max Diaz, Matt Fulmer, Mayra Rivera-Vazquez, and Ben Frasier, received single-digit support and were eliminated, sharply reducing their implied probabilities. The short two-week runoff window and the district’s recent history of competitive Democratic contests continue to shape expectations around the final nominee.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan