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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Claire Valdez 77%

Antonio Reynoso 22%

Julie Won 2.4%

Lincoln Restler <1%

Polymarket

$90,118 Vol.

Claire Valdez 77%

Antonio Reynoso 22%

Julie Won 2.4%

Lincoln Restler <1%

Polymarket

$90,118 Vol.

Claire Valdez

$6,697 Vol.

77%

Antonio Reynoso

$6,223 Vol.

22%

Julie Won

$3,298 Vol.

2%

Lincoln Restler

$4,757 Vol.

<1%

Kristen Gonzalez

$24,544 Vol.

<1%

Julia Salazar

$5,740 Vol.

<1%

Sandy Nurse

$7,944 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Cabán

$6,572 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$24,343 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Claire Valdez leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability in the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her recent endorsement from Sen. Bernie Sanders on April 2 and superior grassroots fundraising, raising over $750,000 from 11,200 small donors in her first filing.** Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds 21.5% with backing from retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, Queens County Democrats, and the Working Families Party, including a quietly secured county endorsement revealed April 6. A recent Data for Progress poll showed Reynoso at 28%, Valdez at 24%, and 46% undecided, but Valdez's progressive alliances—including NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, DSA, and unions—along with active canvassing, have boosted her momentum in this open seat race spanning northern Brooklyn and western Queens. Julie Won trails at 2.4% despite strong fundraising, while others remain marginal. High undecideds and upcoming petition deadlines could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$90,118
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Claire Valdez leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability in the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her recent endorsement from Sen. Bernie Sanders on April 2 and superior grassroots fundraising, raising over $750,000 from 11,200 small donors in her first filing.** Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds 21.5% with backing from retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, Queens County Democrats, and the Working Families Party, including a quietly secured county endorsement revealed April 6. A recent Data for Progress poll showed Reynoso at 28%, Valdez at 24%, and 46% undecided, but Valdez's progressive alliances—including NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, DSA, and unions—along with active canvassing, have boosted her momentum in this open seat race spanning northern Brooklyn and western Queens. Julie Won trails at 2.4% despite strong fundraising, while others remain marginal. High undecideds and upcoming petition deadlines could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$90,118
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Claire Valdez" di 77%, diikuti oleh "Antonio Reynoso" di 22%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 77¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 77% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $90.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Claire Valdez" di 77%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 77% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Antonio Reynoso" di 22%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.