The June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, an open seat after Representative Nydia Velázquez’s retirement, features a contest between Assembly Member Claire Valdez and Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso that has split elements of the city’s progressive coalition. Valdez holds the trader consensus lead at 70 percent implied probability, driven by her Democratic Socialists of America organizational backing and Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement, while Reynoso sits at 29 percent on the strength of Velázquez’s endorsement, organized labor support, and his boroughwide record. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly ahead among likely voters amid a large undecided share. Other candidates trail far behind in both polling and market pricing, with the outcome hinging on turnout and coalition consolidation in the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Claire Valdez 70%
Antonio Reynoso 29%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$131,233 Vol.
$131,233 Vol.
Claire Valdez
70%
Antonio Reynoso
29%
Julie Won
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Claire Valdez 70%
Antonio Reynoso 29%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$131,233 Vol.
$131,233 Vol.
Claire Valdez
70%
Antonio Reynoso
29%
Julie Won
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, an open seat after Representative Nydia Velázquez’s retirement, features a contest between Assembly Member Claire Valdez and Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso that has split elements of the city’s progressive coalition. Valdez holds the trader consensus lead at 70 percent implied probability, driven by her Democratic Socialists of America organizational backing and Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement, while Reynoso sits at 29 percent on the strength of Velázquez’s endorsement, organized labor support, and his boroughwide record. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly ahead among likely voters amid a large undecided share. Other candidates trail far behind in both polling and market pricing, with the outcome hinging on turnout and coalition consolidation in the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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