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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Claire Valdez 69%

Antonio Reynoso 28%

Julie Won 4.2%

Kristen Gonzalez <1%

Polymarket

$131,773 Vol.

Claire Valdez 69%

Antonio Reynoso 28%

Julie Won 4.2%

Kristen Gonzalez <1%

Polymarket

$131,773 Vol.

Claire Valdez

$15,608 Vol.

69%

Antonio Reynoso

$13,681 Vol.

28%

Julie Won

$10,523 Vol.

6%

Kristen Gonzalez

$27,657 Vol.

<1%

Lincoln Restler

$8,809 Vol.

<1%

Julia Salazar

$8,110 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$27,194 Vol.

<1%

Sandy Nurse

$10,169 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Cabán

$10,022 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez leads trader consensus at 69 percent implied probability for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 7th Congressional District, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 28 percent. The race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez has sharpened divisions between Democratic Socialists of America-backed candidates and broader progressive and labor coalitions. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly ahead of Reynoso among likely Democratic primary voters, with high undecided shares, while Valdez edges Reynoso in early fundraising. Reynoso benefits from Velázquez’s endorsement, organized labor support, and his record as Brooklyn borough president, yet market pricing reflects Valdez’s momentum from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s backing and DSA organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout efforts. Other candidates remain far behind in both polling and pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$131,773
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez leads trader consensus at 69 percent implied probability for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 7th Congressional District, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 28 percent. The race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez has sharpened divisions between Democratic Socialists of America-backed candidates and broader progressive and labor coalitions. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly ahead of Reynoso among likely Democratic primary voters, with high undecided shares, while Valdez edges Reynoso in early fundraising. Reynoso benefits from Velázquez’s endorsement, organized labor support, and his record as Brooklyn borough president, yet market pricing reflects Valdez’s momentum from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s backing and DSA organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout efforts. Other candidates remain far behind in both polling and pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$131,773
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Claire Valdez" di 69%, diikuti oleh "Antonio Reynoso" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 69¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 69% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $131.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Claire Valdez" di 69%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 69% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Antonio Reynoso" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.