Skip to main content
icon for CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Jangka Menengah

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Jangka Menengah

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Luke Bronin 61%

John Larson 38%

Jillian Gilchrest 3.0%

Ruth Fortune 2.1%

Polymarket

$10,580 Vol.

Luke Bronin 61%

John Larson 38%

Jillian Gilchrest 3.0%

Ruth Fortune 2.1%

Polymarket

$10,580 Vol.

Luke Bronin

$4,274 Vol.

50%

John Larson

$1,491 Vol.

38%

Jillian Gilchrest

$2,216 Vol.

3%

Ruth Fortune

$932 Vol.

2%

Mark Stewart Greenstein

$1,667 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin’s narrow victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson for the Democratic endorsement at the May 2026 party convention has positioned him as the market leader in the August 11 CT-01 primary. The close delegate vote, decided by roughly 10 ballots after multiple rounds and strategic shifts involving other candidates, delivered Bronin the top line on the ballot and highlighted shifting support among party activists. Larson retains strong name recognition and labor backing in the district, keeping the race competitive ahead of the filing deadline and primary. Minor candidates such as Jillian Gilchrest trail significantly, reflecting limited convention performance and weaker visibility. Trader consensus reflects the convention outcome as the dominant recent catalyst while acknowledging the primary remains open to further movement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,580
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin’s narrow victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson for the Democratic endorsement at the May 2026 party convention has positioned him as the market leader in the August 11 CT-01 primary. The close delegate vote, decided by roughly 10 ballots after multiple rounds and strategic shifts involving other candidates, delivered Bronin the top line on the ballot and highlighted shifting support among party activists. Larson retains strong name recognition and labor backing in the district, keeping the race competitive ahead of the filing deadline and primary. Minor candidates such as Jillian Gilchrest trail significantly, reflecting limited convention performance and weaker visibility. Trader consensus reflects the convention outcome as the dominant recent catalyst while acknowledging the primary remains open to further movement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,580
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Luke Bronin" di 50%, diikuti oleh "John Larson" di 38%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 50¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $10.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Luke Bronin" di 50%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "John Larson" di 38%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.