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Pemilihan Umum·Jangka Menengah

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

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Pemilihan Umum·Jangka Menengah

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Luke Bronin 47%

John Larson 23%

Jillian Gilchrest 4.5%

Ruth Fortune 4.1%

Polymarket
BARU

Luke Bronin 47%

John Larson 23%

Jillian Gilchrest 4.5%

Ruth Fortune 4.1%

Polymarket
BARU

Luke Bronin

$2,810 Vol.

47%

John Larson

$551 Vol.

35%

Jillian Gilchrest

$0 Vol.

5%

Ruth Fortune

$715 Vol.

4%

Mark Stewart Greenstein

$1,379 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the CT-01 Democratic primary favors former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin at 47% implied probability over incumbent Rep. John Larson at 34%, driven by Bronin's fundraising edge in the latest Q1 2026 reports—$511,000 raised and $1.8 million cash on hand versus Larson's $452,000 raised and $1.1 million cash—bolstering his ability to build name recognition and advertise ahead of the August 11 primary. Larson's March internal poll showed him leading 49-26%, but traders appear to discount it amid Bronin's momentum as a younger challenger rejecting corporate PACs while attracting Hollywood and finance donors. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest trails at 4.5% with modest grassroots support, while Ruth Fortune and Mark Stewart Greenstein lag further; endorsements favor Larson, but the race remains closely contested with undecided voters key.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,455
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the CT-01 Democratic primary favors former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin at 47% implied probability over incumbent Rep. John Larson at 34%, driven by Bronin's fundraising edge in the latest Q1 2026 reports—$511,000 raised and $1.8 million cash on hand versus Larson's $452,000 raised and $1.1 million cash—bolstering his ability to build name recognition and advertise ahead of the August 11 primary. Larson's March internal poll showed him leading 49-26%, but traders appear to discount it amid Bronin's momentum as a younger challenger rejecting corporate PACs while attracting Hollywood and finance donors. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest trails at 4.5% with modest grassroots support, while Ruth Fortune and Mark Stewart Greenstein lag further; endorsements favor Larson, but the race remains closely contested with undecided voters key.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,455
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Luke Bronin" di 47%, diikuti oleh "John Larson" di 35%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 47¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Feb 26, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Luke Bronin" di 47%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "John Larson" di 35%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.