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Pemilihan Umum·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Pemilihan Umum·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 57%

Ryan Crosswell 38%

Lamont McClure 4.1%

Carol Obando-Derstine 2.5%

Polymarket

$15,884 Vol.

Bob Brooks 57%

Ryan Crosswell 38%

Lamont McClure 4.1%

Carol Obando-Derstine 2.5%

Polymarket

$15,884 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$2,104 Vol.

57%

Ryan Crosswell

$2,629 Vol.

38%

Lamont McClure

$3,411 Vol.

4%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$4,163 Vol.

2%

Aiden Gonzalez

$1,468 Vol.

1%

Lewis Shupe

$2,109 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 57.5% to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, driven by his leadership as president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, high-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Chris Deluzio, and the Working Families Party, and strong Q1 2026 fundraising totaling $423,000 with $544,000 cash on hand. A Change Research survey showed Brooks surging to 30% support among primary voters after biographical information, ahead of Ryan Crosswell's 18%, reflecting his working-class appeal in the competitive Lehigh Valley battleground. Crosswell, at 37.5%, leads spending at $917,000 disbursed and $715,000 cash, bolstered by individual donors, positioning him as a formidable challenger amid total Democratic outlays exceeding $2 million. Recent super PAC buys supporting Brooks and forum debates have sharpened the top-two contest, though questions linger over Brooks' debate performances and past legal disputes, with no public polling yet confirming a clear leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15,884
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 57.5% to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, driven by his leadership as president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, high-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Chris Deluzio, and the Working Families Party, and strong Q1 2026 fundraising totaling $423,000 with $544,000 cash on hand. A Change Research survey showed Brooks surging to 30% support among primary voters after biographical information, ahead of Ryan Crosswell's 18%, reflecting his working-class appeal in the competitive Lehigh Valley battleground. Crosswell, at 37.5%, leads spending at $917,000 disbursed and $715,000 cash, bolstered by individual donors, positioning him as a formidable challenger amid total Democratic outlays exceeding $2 million. Recent super PAC buys supporting Brooks and forum debates have sharpened the top-two contest, though questions linger over Brooks' debate performances and past legal disputes, with no public polling yet confirming a clear leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15,884
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Bob Brooks" di 57%, diikuti oleh "Ryan Crosswell" di 38%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 57¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 57% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $15.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 20, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Bob Brooks" di 57%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 57% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Ryan Crosswell" di 38%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.