The Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats remains highly competitive for second place, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates following August party conventions. Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include Pernambuco’s polarized electorate, shifting party alliances, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final stretch before the October 4 first-round vote. Late campaign events, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or endorsements could still reorder the standings for second.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMarília Arraes 44%
Mendonça Filho 44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa 44%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
44%
Mendonça Filho
44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
44%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
44%
Samuel Timoteo
44%
Túlio Gadêlha
44%
Humberto Costa
44%
Mailson da Silva Neto
44%
Mariano Macedo
44%
Eduardo da Fonte
42%
Carlos Sant'Anna
41%
Gorett Bitu
41%
Marília Arraes 44%
Mendonça Filho 44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa 44%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
$0 Vol.
44%
Mendonça Filho
$0 Vol.
44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$0 Vol.
44%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$0 Vol.
44%
Samuel Timoteo
$0 Vol.
44%
Túlio Gadêlha
$0 Vol.
44%
Humberto Costa
$0 Vol.
44%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$0 Vol.
44%
Mariano Macedo
$0 Vol.
44%
Eduardo da Fonte
$0 Vol.
42%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$0 Vol.
41%
Gorett Bitu
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats remains highly competitive for second place, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates following August party conventions. Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include Pernambuco’s polarized electorate, shifting party alliances, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final stretch before the October 4 first-round vote. Late campaign events, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or endorsements could still reorder the standings for second.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats remains highly competitive for second place, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates following August party conventions. Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include Pernambuco’s polarized electorate, shifting party alliances, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final stretch before the October 4 first-round vote. Late campaign events, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or endorsements could still reorder the standings for second.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats remains highly competitive for second place, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates following August party conventions. Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include Pernambuco’s polarized electorate, shifting party alliances, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final stretch before the October 4 first-round vote. Late campaign events, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or endorsements could still reorder the standings for second.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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