Trader consensus on the Code Arena WebDev market reflects intense competition among frontier coding models, with no dominant leader as of mid-August 2026. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol have posted top Elo scores on agentic frontend tasks, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 previously led the arena and DeepSeek V4 Pro-Max shows strong benchmark parity on SWE-Bench-style evaluations. Chinese labs continue closing the gap through open-weight releases and rapid iteration, creating volatility ahead of the October resolution. Key swing factors include new model drops, arena voting shifts on multi-step web workflows, and any demonstration of superior long-context or tool-use capabilities in live WebDev scenarios.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 39%
SpaceXAI 11%
OpenAI 7%
Moonshot 6%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
39%
SpaceXAI
11%
OpenAI
7%
Moonshot
6%
Alibaba
4%
Meta
4%
Poolside
3%
Tencent
3%
Z.ai
1%
Mistral
1%
Xiaomi
16%
ByteDance
1%
MiniMax
1%
22%
DeepSeek
7%
Thinky
22%
Anthropic 39%
SpaceXAI 11%
OpenAI 7%
Moonshot 6%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$914 Vol.
39%
SpaceXAI
$73 Vol.
11%
OpenAI
$103 Vol.
7%
Moonshot
$73 Vol.
6%
Alibaba
$73 Vol.
4%
Meta
$187 Vol.
4%
Poolside
$206 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$164 Vol.
3%
Z.ai
$78 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$73 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$162 Vol.
16%
ByteDance
$160 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$138 Vol.
1%
$105 Vol.
22%
DeepSeek
$83 Vol.
7%
Thinky
$147 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on the Code Arena WebDev market reflects intense competition among frontier coding models, with no dominant leader as of mid-August 2026. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol have posted top Elo scores on agentic frontend tasks, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 previously led the arena and DeepSeek V4 Pro-Max shows strong benchmark parity on SWE-Bench-style evaluations. Chinese labs continue closing the gap through open-weight releases and rapid iteration, creating volatility ahead of the October resolution. Key swing factors include new model drops, arena voting shifts on multi-step web workflows, and any demonstration of superior long-context or tool-use capabilities in live WebDev scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,739Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on the Code Arena WebDev market reflects intense competition among frontier coding models, with no dominant leader as of mid-August 2026. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol have posted top Elo scores on agentic frontend tasks, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 previously led the arena and DeepSeek V4 Pro-Max shows strong benchmark parity on SWE-Bench-style evaluations. Chinese labs continue closing the gap through open-weight releases and rapid iteration, creating volatility ahead of the October resolution. Key swing factors include new model drops, arena voting shifts on multi-step web workflows, and any demonstration of superior long-context or tool-use capabilities in live WebDev scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,739Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Code Arena WebDev market reflects intense competition among frontier coding models, with no dominant leader as of mid-August 2026. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol have posted top Elo scores on agentic frontend tasks, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 previously led the arena and DeepSeek V4 Pro-Max shows strong benchmark parity on SWE-Bench-style evaluations. Chinese labs continue closing the gap through open-weight releases and rapid iteration, creating volatility ahead of the October resolution. Key swing factors include new model drops, arena voting shifts on multi-step web workflows, and any demonstration of superior long-context or tool-use capabilities in live WebDev scenarios.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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