Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, drove the near-certain market outcome through consistent leadership on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified scores above 80 percent and strong results in agentic workflows during May 2026. These releases, combined with deep integration into developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code, positioned Anthropic as the clear second choice behind OpenAI's GPT-5.5 in real-world multi-file reasoning and large codebase tasks. Trader consensus reflects this edge in demonstrated capabilities over competitors. A last-minute model update or benchmark shift favoring another lab's release could still alter the ranking before end-of-May resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Baidu <1%
$45,549 Vol.
$45,549 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
Yes
OpenAI
No
xAI
No
Baidu
No
Amazon
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Microsoft
No
No
Alibaba
No
ByteDance
No
Moonshot
No
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
Meta
No
Anthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Baidu <1%
$45,549 Vol.
$45,549 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$8,355 Vol.
Yes
OpenAI
$4,839 Vol.
No
xAI
$4,375 Vol.
No
Baidu
$2,281 Vol.
No
Amazon
$3,785 Vol.
No
Mistral
$542 Vol.
No
Meituan
$3,476 Vol.
No
Microsoft
$739 Vol.
No
$6,111 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$571 Vol.
No
ByteDance
$653 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$3,677 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$1,124 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$3,673 Vol.
No
Meta
$1,346 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, drove the near-certain market outcome through consistent leadership on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified scores above 80 percent and strong results in agentic workflows during May 2026. These releases, combined with deep integration into developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code, positioned Anthropic as the clear second choice behind OpenAI's GPT-5.5 in real-world multi-file reasoning and large codebase tasks. Trader consensus reflects this edge in demonstrated capabilities over competitors. A last-minute model update or benchmark shift favoring another lab's release could still alter the ranking before end-of-May resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$45,549Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, drove the near-certain market outcome through consistent leadership on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified scores above 80 percent and strong results in agentic workflows during May 2026. These releases, combined with deep integration into developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code, positioned Anthropic as the clear second choice behind OpenAI's GPT-5.5 in real-world multi-file reasoning and large codebase tasks. Trader consensus reflects this edge in demonstrated capabilities over competitors. A last-minute model update or benchmark shift favoring another lab's release could still alter the ranking before end-of-May resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$45,549Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, drove the near-certain market outcome through consistent leadership on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified scores above 80 percent and strong results in agentic workflows during May 2026. These releases, combined with deep integration into developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code, positioned Anthropic as the clear second choice behind OpenAI's GPT-5.5 in real-world multi-file reasoning and large codebase tasks. Trader consensus reflects this edge in demonstrated capabilities over competitors. A last-minute model update or benchmark shift favoring another lab's release could still alter the ranking before end-of-May resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan