Rebecca Cooke leads the market at 70.5% in the Wisconsin 3rd District rematch because recent polling averages show her competitive or slightly ahead of incumbent Derrick Van Orden, with a June 2026 survey placing her at 50% to his 46%. The district remains a toss-up or lean Democratic per major forecasters, aided by Cooke's consistent fundraising advantage, Van Orden's unfavorable ratings, and the broader competitive environment for the November 3, 2026, general election. Primary results in August confirmed both nominees, while recent debate scheduling disputes and campaign attacks have not shifted the implied probability significantly. Trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside historical closeness in the seat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWI-03 House Election Winner
WI-03 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
29%
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
$4,465 Vol.
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
$2,073 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke leads the market at 70.5% in the Wisconsin 3rd District rematch because recent polling averages show her competitive or slightly ahead of incumbent Derrick Van Orden, with a June 2026 survey placing her at 50% to his 46%. The district remains a toss-up or lean Democratic per major forecasters, aided by Cooke's consistent fundraising advantage, Van Orden's unfavorable ratings, and the broader competitive environment for the November 3, 2026, general election. Primary results in August confirmed both nominees, while recent debate scheduling disputes and campaign attacks have not shifted the implied probability significantly. Trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside historical closeness in the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$6,538Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke leads the market at 70.5% in the Wisconsin 3rd District rematch because recent polling averages show her competitive or slightly ahead of incumbent Derrick Van Orden, with a June 2026 survey placing her at 50% to his 46%. The district remains a toss-up or lean Democratic per major forecasters, aided by Cooke's consistent fundraising advantage, Van Orden's unfavorable ratings, and the broader competitive environment for the November 3, 2026, general election. Primary results in August confirmed both nominees, while recent debate scheduling disputes and campaign attacks have not shifted the implied probability significantly. Trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside historical closeness in the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,538Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Cooke leads the market at 70.5% in the Wisconsin 3rd District rematch because recent polling averages show her competitive or slightly ahead of incumbent Derrick Van Orden, with a June 2026 survey placing her at 50% to his 46%. The district remains a toss-up or lean Democratic per major forecasters, aided by Cooke's consistent fundraising advantage, Van Orden's unfavorable ratings, and the broader competitive environment for the November 3, 2026, general election. Primary results in August confirmed both nominees, while recent debate scheduling disputes and campaign attacks have not shifted the implied probability significantly. Trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside historical closeness in the seat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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