Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold due to its urban, educated electorate and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11 contest and encounters no active Republican general-election opponents as of late July 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 94 percent Democratic probability incorporates this structural advantage, the absence of competitive opposition, and the district’s historical margins that have routinely exceeded 30 points. A credible Republican entrant, major scandal, or unexpected redistricting could narrow the gap, yet both the primary timeline and current candidate field reinforce the seat’s safe status heading into November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$97,528 Vol.
$97,528 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$97,528 Vol.
$97,528 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$58,329 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$39,200 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold due to its urban, educated electorate and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11 contest and encounters no active Republican general-election opponents as of late July 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 94 percent Democratic probability incorporates this structural advantage, the absence of competitive opposition, and the district’s historical margins that have routinely exceeded 30 points. A credible Republican entrant, major scandal, or unexpected redistricting could narrow the gap, yet both the primary timeline and current candidate field reinforce the seat’s safe status heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$97,528Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold due to its urban, educated electorate and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11 contest and encounters no active Republican general-election opponents as of late July 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 94 percent Democratic probability incorporates this structural advantage, the absence of competitive opposition, and the district’s historical margins that have routinely exceeded 30 points. A credible Republican entrant, major scandal, or unexpected redistricting could narrow the gap, yet both the primary timeline and current candidate field reinforce the seat’s safe status heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$97,528Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold due to its urban, educated electorate and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11 contest and encounters no active Republican general-election opponents as of late July 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 94 percent Democratic probability incorporates this structural advantage, the absence of competitive opposition, and the district’s historical margins that have routinely exceeded 30 points. A credible Republican entrant, major scandal, or unexpected redistricting could narrow the gap, yet both the primary timeline and current candidate field reinforce the seat’s safe status heading into November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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