Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Politik·Trump

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

icon for Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Politik·Trump

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

4% peluang
Polymarket

$48,934 Vol.

4% peluang
Polymarket

$48,934 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The ruling Demokraatit-led coalition, which took power after Greenland’s March 2025 election, has explicitly deferred any independence referendum or formal negotiations in the near term, favoring gradual self-determination while deepening security and economic ties with Denmark and the EU. Recent visits by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and new EU funding packages underscore this emphasis on stability and Arctic partnerships amid external pressures. Greenland’s heavy reliance on Danish block grants and the absence of scheduled 2026 parliamentary action or coalition shifts supporting an immediate vote sustain the high trader consensus against a referendum this year. Late developments such as a snap election, major fiscal shifts, or renewed external diplomatic crises could still reopen the timeline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$48,934
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The ruling Demokraatit-led coalition, which took power after Greenland’s March 2025 election, has explicitly deferred any independence referendum or formal negotiations in the near term, favoring gradual self-determination while deepening security and economic ties with Denmark and the EU. Recent visits by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and new EU funding packages underscore this emphasis on stability and Arctic partnerships amid external pressures. Greenland’s heavy reliance on Danish block grants and the absence of scheduled 2026 parliamentary action or coalition shifts supporting an immediate vote sustain the high trader consensus against a referendum this year. Late developments such as a snap election, major fiscal shifts, or renewed external diplomatic crises could still reopen the timeline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$48,934
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Terkait

icon for Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

8%
icon for Apakah AS akan menginvasi Greenland pada tahun 2026?

Apakah AS akan menginvasi Greenland pada tahun 2026?

3%
Ya
icon for Akankah Trump mengakuisisi Greenland sebelum tahun 2027?

Akankah Trump mengakuisisi Greenland sebelum tahun 2027?

3%
Ya

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 4% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 4¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 4% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $48.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 12, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?" adalah 4% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 4% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.