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Pemilihan Umum·Senat Texas

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Market icon
Pemilihan Umum·Senat Texas

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

10% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
10% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and incumbent Sen. John Cornyn both declined to withdraw from the Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate by the April 17 deadline, locking in the May 26 contest and bolstering trader consensus at 90% against Paxton dropping out. Recent Texas Public Opinion Research polling shows Paxton leading by 8 points among likely voters, building on his March primary performance that forced the runoff despite trailing Cornyn. Paxton's campaign momentum persists amid a pending Trump endorsement and reports of NRSC and Senate Leadership Fund shifting away from Cornyn, with no public statements or actions signaling Paxton's exit from the race.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,112
Tanggal Berakhir
May 25, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and incumbent Sen. John Cornyn both declined to withdraw from the Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate by the April 17 deadline, locking in the May 26 contest and bolstering trader consensus at 90% against Paxton dropping out. Recent Texas Public Opinion Research polling shows Paxton leading by 8 points among likely voters, building on his March primary performance that forced the runoff despite trailing Cornyn. Paxton's campaign momentum persists amid a pending Trump endorsement and reports of NRSC and Senate Leadership Fund shifting away from Cornyn, with no public statements or actions signaling Paxton's exit from the race.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,112
Tanggal Berakhir
May 25, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Ken Paxton drop out?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 10% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 10¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 10% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will Ken Paxton drop out?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Mar 9, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will Ken Paxton drop out?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Ken Paxton drop out?" adalah 10% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 10% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Ken Paxton drop out?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.