Resident Evil's dominant $60 million opening the prior weekend, the franchise's best ever and a career high for director Zach Cregger, positions it as the clear frontrunner to repeat at number one. Strong word-of-mouth, a B+ CinemaScore, and typical horror hold patterns support trader consensus around its 74% implied probability, as second-weekend drops often leave it above $25 million. New wide releases including Heart of the Beast, Forgotten Island, and Primetime carry solid but uncertain tracking in the mid-teens, while the Avengers: Endgame Encore re-release projects around $20 million-plus yet faces limited theatrical footprint. Market-implied odds reflect these competitive dynamics and the tight window before final grosses lock.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato#1 al botteghino questo fine settimana?
Resident Evil 71%
Avengers: Endgame Encore 28%
Primetime 2.8%
Heart of the Beast 1.5%

Avengers: Endgame Encore
28%

Resident Evil
71%

Primetime
3%

Heart of the Beast
2%
Resident Evil 71%
Avengers: Endgame Encore 28%
Primetime 2.8%
Heart of the Beast 1.5%

Avengers: Endgame Encore
28%

Resident Evil
71%

Primetime
3%

Heart of the Beast
2%
If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47de9d...If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Risolutore
0x69c47de9d...Resident Evil's dominant $60 million opening the prior weekend, the franchise's best ever and a career high for director Zach Cregger, positions it as the clear frontrunner to repeat at number one. Strong word-of-mouth, a B+ CinemaScore, and typical horror hold patterns support trader consensus around its 74% implied probability, as second-weekend drops often leave it above $25 million. New wide releases including Heart of the Beast, Forgotten Island, and Primetime carry solid but uncertain tracking in the mid-teens, while the Avengers: Endgame Encore re-release projects around $20 million-plus yet faces limited theatrical footprint. Market-implied odds reflect these competitive dynamics and the tight window before final grosses lock.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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