Argentina's May 2026 monthly inflation printed at 2.1% month-over-month per INDEC data released June 11, matching the exact threshold for the dominant ≤2.1% outcome and confirming the market's 100% implied probability. The print marked a further deceleration from April's 2.6% and March's 3.4%, reflecting sustained disinflation amid tighter monetary policy, peso stabilization, and subdued demand pressures. Year-over-year inflation edged up modestly to 33.6%, yet the monthly trend aligns with analyst forecasts around 2.3% and supports expectations for continued moderation. While the release largely eliminates outcome uncertainty, any subsequent INDEC revisions or methodological adjustments could theoretically alter final resolution, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this series.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato≤2,1% 100.0%
2.2–2.4% <1%
2.5–2.7% <1%
2.8–3.0% <1%
$54,052 Vol.
$54,052 Vol.
≤2,1%
Sì
2.2–2.4%
No
2.5–2.7%
No
2.8–3.0%
No
3.1–3.3%
No
3.4–3.6%
No
3.7–3.9%
No
4.0%+
No
≤2,1% 100.0%
2.2–2.4% <1%
2.5–2.7% <1%
2.8–3.0% <1%
$54,052 Vol.
$54,052 Vol.
≤2,1%
Sì
2.2–2.4%
No
2.5–2.7%
No
2.8–3.0%
No
3.1–3.3%
No
3.4–3.6%
No
3.7–3.9%
No
4.0%+
No
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Argentina's May 2026 monthly inflation printed at 2.1% month-over-month per INDEC data released June 11, matching the exact threshold for the dominant ≤2.1% outcome and confirming the market's 100% implied probability. The print marked a further deceleration from April's 2.6% and March's 3.4%, reflecting sustained disinflation amid tighter monetary policy, peso stabilization, and subdued demand pressures. Year-over-year inflation edged up modestly to 33.6%, yet the monthly trend aligns with analyst forecasts around 2.3% and supports expectations for continued moderation. While the release largely eliminates outcome uncertainty, any subsequent INDEC revisions or methodological adjustments could theoretically alter final resolution, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this series.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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