Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 20 luglio?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 20 luglio?
34°C 45%
35°C 39%
33°C 12%
36°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 lug 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
12%
34°C
45%
35°C
39%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
35°C 39%
33°C 12%
36°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 lug 2026
29°C or below
$124 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$148 Vol.
1%
32°C
$120 Vol.
2%
33°C
$398 Vol.
12%
34°C
$242 Vol.
45%
35°C
$377 Vol.
39%
36°C
$283 Vol.
3%
37°C
$121 Vol.
1%
38°C
$124 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,273Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,273Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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