Current numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converge on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Ankara on June 4 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light winds. This places the market-implied odds in line with ensemble consensus, as early-June climatology features average highs near 24–25°C while recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The outcome remains sensitive to any late-day convective development or revised model guidance that could shift the peak by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 4?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$63,716 Vol.
$63,716 Vol.
4 giu 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$63,716 Vol.
$63,716 Vol.
4 giu 2026
20°C or below
$161 Vol.
No
21°C
$382 Vol.
No
22°C
$336 Vol.
No
23°C
$538 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,773 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,134 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,395 Vol.
No
27°C
$16,571 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$12,389 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,873 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$6,164 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converge on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Ankara on June 4 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light winds. This places the market-implied odds in line with ensemble consensus, as early-June climatology features average highs near 24–25°C while recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The outcome remains sensitive to any late-day convective development or revised model guidance that could shift the peak by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Volume
$63,716Data di fine
4 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:45 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converge on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Ankara on June 4 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light winds. This places the market-implied odds in line with ensemble consensus, as early-June climatology features average highs near 24–25°C while recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The outcome remains sensitive to any late-day convective development or revised model guidance that could shift the peak by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,716Data di fine
4 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:45 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converge on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Ankara on June 4 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light winds. This places the market-implied odds in line with ensemble consensus, as early-June climatology features average highs near 24–25°C while recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The outcome remains sensitive to any late-day convective development or revised model guidance that could shift the peak by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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