The recorded high temperature of 33°C at Beijing Capital International Airport station on May 31 has driven the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. Official meteorological observations from this primary resolution source confirm the daily maximum under standard surface measurement protocols, consistent with late-spring climatology where Beijing averages near 27°C but regularly sees peaks several degrees higher amid variable synoptic patterns. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving negligible room for higher thresholds. Only an official data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the result, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 31?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 31?
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$97,492 Vol.
$97,492 Vol.
31 mag 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$97,492 Vol.
$97,492 Vol.
31 mag 2026
32°C or below
$32,184 Vol.
No
33°C
$12,815 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$10,282 Vol.
No
35°C
$8,489 Vol.
No
36°C
$10,706 Vol.
No
37°C
$9,812 Vol.
No
38°C
$7,367 Vol.
No
39°C
$3,639 Vol.
No
40°C
$668 Vol.
No
41°C
$498 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$1,033 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The recorded high temperature of 33°C at Beijing Capital International Airport station on May 31 has driven the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. Official meteorological observations from this primary resolution source confirm the daily maximum under standard surface measurement protocols, consistent with late-spring climatology where Beijing averages near 27°C but regularly sees peaks several degrees higher amid variable synoptic patterns. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving negligible room for higher thresholds. Only an official data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the result, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 29, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$97,492Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 29, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The recorded high temperature of 33°C at Beijing Capital International Airport station on May 31 has driven the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. Official meteorological observations from this primary resolution source confirm the daily maximum under standard surface measurement protocols, consistent with late-spring climatology where Beijing averages near 27°C but regularly sees peaks several degrees higher amid variable synoptic patterns. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving negligible room for higher thresholds. Only an official data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the result, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$97,492Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 29, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The recorded high temperature of 33°C at Beijing Capital International Airport station on May 31 has driven the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. Official meteorological observations from this primary resolution source confirm the daily maximum under standard surface measurement protocols, consistent with late-spring climatology where Beijing averages near 27°C but regularly sees peaks several degrees higher amid variable synoptic patterns. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving negligible room for higher thresholds. Only an official data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the result, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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