Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a moderating northeast airflow will drive Buenos Aires highs to 16–18°C on August 26, following cooler late-winter conditions earlier in the month. This aligns with the market’s leading 19°C (39%) and 20°C (21.5%) outcomes, as traders price in the warmest readings during the afternoon under partly cloudy skies. Historical August averages near 16–18°C provide context, while the current setup shows limited risk of exceeding 21°C or dropping below 17°C given stable pressure and dew points. Updated official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and afternoon observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 26 agosto?
19°C 39%
20°C 22%
18°C 15%
21°C 10%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
15%
19°C
39%
20°C
22%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
3%
19°C 39%
20°C 22%
18°C 15%
21°C 10%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
15%
19°C
39%
20°C
22%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a moderating northeast airflow will drive Buenos Aires highs to 16–18°C on August 26, following cooler late-winter conditions earlier in the month. This aligns with the market’s leading 19°C (39%) and 20°C (21.5%) outcomes, as traders price in the warmest readings during the afternoon under partly cloudy skies. Historical August averages near 16–18°C provide context, while the current setup shows limited risk of exceeding 21°C or dropping below 17°C given stable pressure and dew points. Updated official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and afternoon observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti