Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm the daytime high reached 22°C around mid-afternoon on May 10, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds capped peak heating, with hourly data showing temperatures falling to 20-21°C by 18:00 amid 60% humidity, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus. May climatology supports this, as Busan averages 22°C highs during the month. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing minor solar rebound before sunset, though decreasing insolation sharply limits upside risk; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Busan on May 10?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 10?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$61,098 Vol.
$61,098 Vol.
10 mag 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$61,098 Vol.
$61,098 Vol.
10 mag 2026
17°C or below
$1,813 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,033 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,139 Vol.
No
20°C
$14,495 Vol.
No
21°C
$11,202 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,596 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$7,320 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,746 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,362 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,288 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$3,103 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm the daytime high reached 22°C around mid-afternoon on May 10, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds capped peak heating, with hourly data showing temperatures falling to 20-21°C by 18:00 amid 60% humidity, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus. May climatology supports this, as Busan averages 22°C highs during the month. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing minor solar rebound before sunset, though decreasing insolation sharply limits upside risk; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 8, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volume
$61,098Data di fine
10 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:48 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm the daytime high reached 22°C around mid-afternoon on May 10, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds capped peak heating, with hourly data showing temperatures falling to 20-21°C by 18:00 amid 60% humidity, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus. May climatology supports this, as Busan averages 22°C highs during the month. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing minor solar rebound before sunset, though decreasing insolation sharply limits upside risk; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,098Data di fine
10 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:48 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm the daytime high reached 22°C around mid-afternoon on May 10, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds capped peak heating, with hourly data showing temperatures falling to 20-21°C by 18:00 amid 60% humidity, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus. May climatology supports this, as Busan averages 22°C highs during the month. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing minor solar rebound before sunset, though decreasing insolation sharply limits upside risk; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti