Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in Denver's April 19 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 66–76°F amid divergent short-range forecast models. The National Weather Service's latest guidance points to highs near 59–64°F under partly sunny skies following a recent sharp cooldown and potential snow showers on April 17–18, driven by a Pacific front ushering colder 700 mb temperatures (-8 to -12°C) conducive to light precipitation. However, GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread due to the timing of high-pressure ridge development over the Rockies, dry air mass allowing rapid diurnal heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, and variable cloud cover—factors that could push peaks into the low-to-mid 70s if clearing accelerates. Normal April 19 highs sit at 60°F; watch NWS updates Saturday for refined model runs resolving these steering pattern discrepancies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Denver on April 19?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 19?
76°F or higher 28%
72-73°F 23%
74-75°F 22%
66-67°F 22%
57°F or below
3%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
22%
76°F or higher
28%
76°F or higher 28%
72-73°F 23%
74-75°F 22%
66-67°F 22%
57°F or below
3%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
22%
76°F or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in Denver's April 19 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 66–76°F amid divergent short-range forecast models. The National Weather Service's latest guidance points to highs near 59–64°F under partly sunny skies following a recent sharp cooldown and potential snow showers on April 17–18, driven by a Pacific front ushering colder 700 mb temperatures (-8 to -12°C) conducive to light precipitation. However, GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread due to the timing of high-pressure ridge development over the Rockies, dry air mass allowing rapid diurnal heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, and variable cloud cover—factors that could push peaks into the low-to-mid 70s if clearing accelerates. Normal April 19 highs sit at 60°F; watch NWS updates Saturday for refined model runs resolving these steering pattern discrepancies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti