**National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on July 17 project a high near 94°F under mostly sunny conditions, with heat index values reaching 105°F amid ongoing humid summer patterns.** This aligns with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome (48.5% implied probability), as typical July normals hover around 91°F but recent days have consistently delivered 92-94°F readings under high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Afternoon sea breezes or scattered thunderstorms (30-40% chance in extended outlooks) could moderate peaks slightly toward the 92-93°F bin (33.5%), while the low odds on 96°F+ reflect limited intensification potential without stronger subsidence or drier air. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 16 continue to anchor trader consensus in this narrow mid-90s window ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 17 luglio?
94-95°F 42%
92-93°F 38%
96-97°F 18%
90-91°F 3.5%
$18,623 Vol.
$18,623 Vol.
87°F o meno
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
42%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F o superiore
<1%
94-95°F 42%
92-93°F 38%
96-97°F 18%
90-91°F 3.5%
$18,623 Vol.
$18,623 Vol.
87°F o meno
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
42%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on July 17 project a high near 94°F under mostly sunny conditions, with heat index values reaching 105°F amid ongoing humid summer patterns.** This aligns with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome (48.5% implied probability), as typical July normals hover around 91°F but recent days have consistently delivered 92-94°F readings under high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Afternoon sea breezes or scattered thunderstorms (30-40% chance in extended outlooks) could moderate peaks slightly toward the 92-93°F bin (33.5%), while the low odds on 96°F+ reflect limited intensification potential without stronger subsidence or drier air. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 16 continue to anchor trader consensus in this narrow mid-90s window ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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