Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a highest temperature of 28°C across monitoring stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the definitive market resolution criterion. This aligns with subtropical climatological norms for mid-April, where maximums typically range 25–29°C amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures per HKO's April–June 2026 forecast, influenced by continental air flows and minimal cloud cover that day. Verified surface measurements from the Observatory and regional sites provide unassailable evidence, with data releases in the past 48 hours solidifying positioning. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a formal data audit uncovering overlooked station peaks could shift it, an exceedingly rare occurrence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$272,020 Vol.
$272,020 Vol.
18 apr 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$272,020 Vol.
$272,020 Vol.
18 apr 2026
21°C or below
$3,992 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,027 Vol.
No
23°C
$9,312 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,483 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,918 Vol.
No
26°C
$27,548 Vol.
No
27°C
$69,514 Vol.
No
28°C
$55,745 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$32,475 Vol.
No
30°C
$35,940 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$18,065 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a highest temperature of 28°C across monitoring stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the definitive market resolution criterion. This aligns with subtropical climatological norms for mid-April, where maximums typically range 25–29°C amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures per HKO's April–June 2026 forecast, influenced by continental air flows and minimal cloud cover that day. Verified surface measurements from the Observatory and regional sites provide unassailable evidence, with data releases in the past 48 hours solidifying positioning. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a formal data audit uncovering overlooked station peaks could shift it, an exceedingly rare occurrence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$272,020Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a highest temperature of 28°C across monitoring stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the definitive market resolution criterion. This aligns with subtropical climatological norms for mid-April, where maximums typically range 25–29°C amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures per HKO's April–June 2026 forecast, influenced by continental air flows and minimal cloud cover that day. Verified surface measurements from the Observatory and regional sites provide unassailable evidence, with data releases in the past 48 hours solidifying positioning. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a formal data audit uncovering overlooked station peaks could shift it, an exceedingly rare occurrence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$272,020Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a highest temperature of 28°C across monitoring stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the definitive market resolution criterion. This aligns with subtropical climatological norms for mid-April, where maximums typically range 25–29°C amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures per HKO's April–June 2026 forecast, influenced by continental air flows and minimal cloud cover that day. Verified surface measurements from the Observatory and regional sites provide unassailable evidence, with data releases in the past 48 hours solidifying positioning. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a formal data audit uncovering overlooked station peaks could shift it, an exceedingly rare occurrence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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