Latest official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Istanbul will reach or exceed 29°C on June 2, driven by a dominant high-pressure system promoting clear skies and southerly airflow that enhances warming. Early June climatology shows typical maximum temperatures of 25–27°C, but current model consensus from global ensembles supports exceeding this baseline amid stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 29°C or higher. Potential challenges include any late-day frontal passage or increased marine influence that could cap peaks below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 2?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 2?
29°C or higher 100%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$18,430 Vol.
$18,430 Vol.
2 giu 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
29°C or higher 100%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$18,430 Vol.
$18,430 Vol.
2 giu 2026
19°C or below
$192 Vol.
No
20°C
$292 Vol.
No
21°C
$539 Vol.
No
22°C
$857 Vol.
No
23°C
$803 Vol.
No
24°C
$628 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,209 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,641 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,277 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,598 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$5,394 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Istanbul will reach or exceed 29°C on June 2, driven by a dominant high-pressure system promoting clear skies and southerly airflow that enhances warming. Early June climatology shows typical maximum temperatures of 25–27°C, but current model consensus from global ensembles supports exceeding this baseline amid stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 29°C or higher. Potential challenges include any late-day frontal passage or increased marine influence that could cap peaks below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$18,430Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Istanbul will reach or exceed 29°C on June 2, driven by a dominant high-pressure system promoting clear skies and southerly airflow that enhances warming. Early June climatology shows typical maximum temperatures of 25–27°C, but current model consensus from global ensembles supports exceeding this baseline amid stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 29°C or higher. Potential challenges include any late-day frontal passage or increased marine influence that could cap peaks below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,430Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Latest official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Istanbul will reach or exceed 29°C on June 2, driven by a dominant high-pressure system promoting clear skies and southerly airflow that enhances warming. Early June climatology shows typical maximum temperatures of 25–27°C, but current model consensus from global ensembles supports exceeding this baseline amid stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 29°C or higher. Potential challenges include any late-day frontal passage or increased marine influence that could cap peaks below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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