**Recent official forecasts and local meteorological guidance for Jinan point to a modest daytime high near 24–26 °C on 25 September, driven by widespread cloud cover and light rain associated with a weakening frontal system.** Multiple Chinese weather services project a high around 25–26 °C under mostly overcast skies with 60–70 % precipitation probability, while international models such as those referenced by WeatherBug and WindBorne cluster near 23–24 °C (roughly 73–75 °F). The rain and high humidity are limiting surface heating despite September climatology that would otherwise favor warmer readings; steering winds remain light, reducing mixing. Market-implied odds, which place the highest probability on 24 °C followed closely by 25 °C, reflect this narrow ensemble spread and typical model-to-model differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of clearing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and short-range guidance expected later today will likely tighten the range before resolution.