Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high of 28–32°C in Jinan on September 24 under overcast skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market’s 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Persistent warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and seasonal late-September norms near 25–28°C underpin this consensus. Model agreement remains high across short-range guidance, with minimal spread in maximum temperature outputs. A sharper-than-expected cold-air intrusion or prolonged heavy rainfall could still pull readings below the threshold, though current observational trends and ensemble spreads indicate low likelihood of such rapid cooling before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 24 settembre?
26°C o superiore 98%
20°C 4%
21°C 4%
22°C 4%
16°C o inferiore
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C o superiore
98%
26°C o superiore 98%
20°C 4%
21°C 4%
22°C 4%
16°C o inferiore
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C o superiore
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high of 28–32°C in Jinan on September 24 under overcast skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market’s 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Persistent warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and seasonal late-September norms near 25–28°C underpin this consensus. Model agreement remains high across short-range guidance, with minimal spread in maximum temperature outputs. A sharper-than-expected cold-air intrusion or prolonged heavy rainfall could still pull readings below the threshold, though current observational trends and ensemble spreads indicate low likelihood of such rapid cooling before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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