Recent weather model ensembles for Jinan show substantial spread in minimum temperatures for September 23, with some runs indicating a surge of cooler northerly air under a strengthening high-pressure ridge while others favor continued warm southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough. This bifurcation drives the near-even split between the 45% implied probability for 12°C or below and 44.5% for 22°C or higher, as forecasters from the China Meteorological Administration note variable 500-hPa heights and limited moisture that could either enhance radiational cooling or suppress it. Historical September climatology for the region places average lows near 17–19°C, underscoring how modest shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover could tip outcomes across the tightly clustered 13–21°C range. Updated runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 23 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 23 settembre?
12°C o inferiore 90%
22°C o superiore 90%
16°C 22%
15°C 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
90%
13°C
20%
14°C
20%
15°C
21%
16°C
22%
17°C
21%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C o superiore
90%
12°C o inferiore 90%
22°C o superiore 90%
16°C 22%
15°C 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
90%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model ensembles for Jinan show substantial spread in minimum temperatures for September 23, with some runs indicating a surge of cooler northerly air under a strengthening high-pressure ridge while others favor continued warm southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough. This bifurcation drives the near-even split between the 45% implied probability for 12°C or below and 44.5% for 22°C or higher, as forecasters from the China Meteorological Administration note variable 500-hPa heights and limited moisture that could either enhance radiational cooling or suppress it. Historical September climatology for the region places average lows near 17–19°C, underscoring how modest shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover could tip outcomes across the tightly clustered 13–21°C range. Updated runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$20Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model ensembles for Jinan show substantial spread in minimum temperatures for September 23, with some runs indicating a surge of cooler northerly air under a strengthening high-pressure ridge while others favor continued warm southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough. This bifurcation drives the near-even split between the 45% implied probability for 12°C or below and 44.5% for 22°C or higher, as forecasters from the China Meteorological Administration note variable 500-hPa heights and limited moisture that could either enhance radiational cooling or suppress it. Historical September climatology for the region places average lows near 17–19°C, underscoring how modest shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover could tip outcomes across the tightly clustered 13–21°C range. Updated runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model ensembles for Jinan show substantial spread in minimum temperatures for September 23, with some runs indicating a surge of cooler northerly air under a strengthening high-pressure ridge while others favor continued warm southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough. This bifurcation drives the near-even split between the 45% implied probability for 12°C or below and 44.5% for 22°C or higher, as forecasters from the China Meteorological Administration note variable 500-hPa heights and limited moisture that could either enhance radiational cooling or suppress it. Historical September climatology for the region places average lows near 17–19°C, underscoring how modest shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover could tip outcomes across the tightly clustered 13–21°C range. Updated runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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