Latest numerical weather models and official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C in Jinan on September 7 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This strong consensus across global and regional ensembles, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the North China Plain, underpins the market’s 98.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. The primary near-term uncertainty stems from possible increases in afternoon cloud cover or subtle steering-flow adjustments, though current model agreement remains high. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 7 settembre?
26°C o superiore 98.4%
24°C 6%
25°C 6%
19°C 4%
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C o superiore
98%
26°C o superiore 98.4%
24°C 6%
25°C 6%
19°C 4%
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C o superiore
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models and official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C in Jinan on September 7 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This strong consensus across global and regional ensembles, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the North China Plain, underpins the market’s 98.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. The primary near-term uncertainty stems from possible increases in afternoon cloud cover or subtle steering-flow adjustments, though current model agreement remains high. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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