**Persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with Mexico City's subtropical highland climate and ongoing rainy season are anchoring the minimum temperature near 12–15°C on September 8.** At roughly 2,240 m elevation, nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity (often 85–95%), extensive cloud decks, and scattered showers that reduce the diurnal temperature range and prevent stronger drops. Official forecasts from multiple models consistently project overnight lows around 12–14°C under overcast skies with light winds, aligning with historical September baselines where minima rarely fall below 12°C without a strong cold-air intrusion. The closely matched market probabilities around 13–15°C reflect uncertainty in exact clearing timing and urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2°C locally; traders are weighting the narrow window between typical convective cooling and any brief clearer intervals that could allow marginally lower readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico l'8 settembre?
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
15°C 34%
12°C 33%
8°C o inferiore
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
25%
12°C
33%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
15°C 34%
12°C 33%
8°C o inferiore
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
25%
12°C
33%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with Mexico City's subtropical highland climate and ongoing rainy season are anchoring the minimum temperature near 12–15°C on September 8.** At roughly 2,240 m elevation, nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity (often 85–95%), extensive cloud decks, and scattered showers that reduce the diurnal temperature range and prevent stronger drops. Official forecasts from multiple models consistently project overnight lows around 12–14°C under overcast skies with light winds, aligning with historical September baselines where minima rarely fall below 12°C without a strong cold-air intrusion. The closely matched market probabilities around 13–15°C reflect uncertainty in exact clearing timing and urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2°C locally; traders are weighting the narrow window between typical convective cooling and any brief clearer intervals that could allow marginally lower readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti