A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 6 maximum, with official guidance from INMET and ensemble models favoring a high near 16 °C. Southerly flow is advecting cooler polar air while widespread cloud cover and periods of rain limit daytime insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 22–24 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of the frontal passage, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–18 °C; lighter or later precipitation could allow brief warming toward 18 °C, whereas stronger onshore flow would cap readings closer to 15 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will be the next key input for resolving the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 6 settembre?
16°C 35%
17°C 29%
15°C 16%
18°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
16%
16°C
35%
17°C
29%
18°C
15%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
16°C 35%
17°C 29%
15°C 16%
18°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
$365 Vol.
4%
14°C
$109 Vol.
5%
15°C
$636 Vol.
16%
16°C
$348 Vol.
35%
17°C
$170 Vol.
29%
18°C
$311 Vol.
15%
19°C
$95 Vol.
4%
20°C
$64 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 6 maximum, with official guidance from INMET and ensemble models favoring a high near 16 °C. Southerly flow is advecting cooler polar air while widespread cloud cover and periods of rain limit daytime insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 22–24 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of the frontal passage, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–18 °C; lighter or later precipitation could allow brief warming toward 18 °C, whereas stronger onshore flow would cap readings closer to 15 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will be the next key input for resolving the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,099Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 6 maximum, with official guidance from INMET and ensemble models favoring a high near 16 °C. Southerly flow is advecting cooler polar air while widespread cloud cover and periods of rain limit daytime insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 22–24 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of the frontal passage, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–18 °C; lighter or later precipitation could allow brief warming toward 18 °C, whereas stronger onshore flow would cap readings closer to 15 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will be the next key input for resolving the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,099Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 6 maximum, with official guidance from INMET and ensemble models favoring a high near 16 °C. Southerly flow is advecting cooler polar air while widespread cloud cover and periods of rain limit daytime insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 22–24 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of the frontal passage, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–18 °C; lighter or later precipitation could allow brief warming toward 18 °C, whereas stronger onshore flow would cap readings closer to 15 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will be the next key input for resolving the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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