Recent official and model forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high near 33–35°C on September 7, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure that has sustained above-normal warmth through early September. This “autumn tiger” pattern features clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling while allowing daytime solar heating to push afternoon peaks into the mid-30s. The approaching transition to Huaxi autumn rain—expected to bring increased cloud cover, scattered precipitation, and cooler air by September 8—introduces the main uncertainty, with model runs differing on the exact timing and extent of cooling or convective activity that could cap or elevate the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the city average highs near 25–27°C, underscoring how current conditions remain anomalously warm. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration updates and high-resolution model outputs for refinements ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 7 settembre?
34°C 25%
33°C 21%
35°C 15%
32°C 14%
28°C o inferiore
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
14%
33°C
21%
34°C
25%
35°C
15%
36°C
11%
37°C
11%
38°C o superiore
4%
34°C 25%
33°C 21%
35°C 15%
32°C 14%
28°C o inferiore
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
14%
33°C
21%
34°C
25%
35°C
15%
36°C
11%
37°C
11%
38°C o superiore
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and model forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high near 33–35°C on September 7, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure that has sustained above-normal warmth through early September. This “autumn tiger” pattern features clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling while allowing daytime solar heating to push afternoon peaks into the mid-30s. The approaching transition to Huaxi autumn rain—expected to bring increased cloud cover, scattered precipitation, and cooler air by September 8—introduces the main uncertainty, with model runs differing on the exact timing and extent of cooling or convective activity that could cap or elevate the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the city average highs near 25–27°C, underscoring how current conditions remain anomalously warm. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration updates and high-resolution model outputs for refinements ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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