Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind evenly matched trader odds across temperature bins for Lucknow's August 28 maximum. Official IMD observations show recent daily highs 1–3°C below normal amid frequent thundershowers, with forecast guidance from regional models indicating a most likely peak of 31–34°C depending on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection. High humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies limit daytime heating, while any breaks in rainfall could allow brief rises toward 35°C or higher; conversely, widespread showers would cap values near 30°C or below. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in steering flow and moisture convergence ahead of the resolution window, with the next IMD update expected to refine probabilities further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 28 agosto?
26°C or below 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
29°C 100%
26°C or below
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C
100%
34°C
100%
35°C
100%
36°C or higher
100%
26°C or below 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
29°C 100%
26°C or below
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C
100%
34°C
100%
35°C
100%
36°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind evenly matched trader odds across temperature bins for Lucknow's August 28 maximum. Official IMD observations show recent daily highs 1–3°C below normal amid frequent thundershowers, with forecast guidance from regional models indicating a most likely peak of 31–34°C depending on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection. High humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies limit daytime heating, while any breaks in rainfall could allow brief rises toward 35°C or higher; conversely, widespread showers would cap values near 30°C or below. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in steering flow and moisture convergence ahead of the resolution window, with the next IMD update expected to refine probabilities further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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