Official AEMET observations from the Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's key resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 26.3°C at 19:20 on April 26, 2026, driving full trader consensus (100% implied probability) on the 26°C outcome, rounded to the nearest whole degree per market rules. This aligns with preceding forecasts projecting 25-26°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and partly cloudy skies that limited cooling, against Madrid's typical April highs of 17-20°C on the Saffir-Simpson baseline climatology. While data revisions by AEMET are rare post-publication, an unlikely correction to 27°C or higher based on sensor recalibration could challenge positioning, though final hourly logs confirm no such shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on April 26?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 26?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$110,480 Vol.
$110,480 Vol.
26 apr 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$110,480 Vol.
$110,480 Vol.
26 apr 2026
20°C or below
$1,505 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,793 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,348 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,754 Vol.
No
24°C
$34,567 Vol.
No
25°C
$15,060 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,694 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$11,878 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,525 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,017 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$5,339 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from the Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's key resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 26.3°C at 19:20 on April 26, 2026, driving full trader consensus (100% implied probability) on the 26°C outcome, rounded to the nearest whole degree per market rules. This aligns with preceding forecasts projecting 25-26°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and partly cloudy skies that limited cooling, against Madrid's typical April highs of 17-20°C on the Saffir-Simpson baseline climatology. While data revisions by AEMET are rare post-publication, an unlikely correction to 27°C or higher based on sensor recalibration could challenge positioning, though final hourly logs confirm no such shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$110,480Data di fine
26 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from the Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's key resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 26.3°C at 19:20 on April 26, 2026, driving full trader consensus (100% implied probability) on the 26°C outcome, rounded to the nearest whole degree per market rules. This aligns with preceding forecasts projecting 25-26°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and partly cloudy skies that limited cooling, against Madrid's typical April highs of 17-20°C on the Saffir-Simpson baseline climatology. While data revisions by AEMET are rare post-publication, an unlikely correction to 27°C or higher based on sensor recalibration could challenge positioning, though final hourly logs confirm no such shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$110,480Data di fine
26 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official AEMET observations from the Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's key resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 26.3°C at 19:20 on April 26, 2026, driving full trader consensus (100% implied probability) on the 26°C outcome, rounded to the nearest whole degree per market rules. This aligns with preceding forecasts projecting 25-26°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and partly cloudy skies that limited cooling, against Madrid's typical April highs of 17-20°C on the Saffir-Simpson baseline climatology. While data revisions by AEMET are rare post-publication, an unlikely correction to 27°C or higher based on sensor recalibration could challenge positioning, though final hourly logs confirm no such shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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